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Global Briefing May 7

Two Wars Move Toward Washington Mediation as AI Race Shifts

Russia's spring offensive is at peak intensity but Russian forces are 'expending resources rather than accumulating them', Joint Forces spokesman Viktor Trehubov said, as Zelenskyy sent NSDC Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet US envoys Witkoff and Kushner. Sixty days into the US-Israeli war on Iran, Trump announced a Hormuz operation on May 4 and abandoned it May 5; Brent fell 3.5 percent to 97.5 dollars a barrel after a US one-page memo reached Tehran via Pakistan. The same day DeepSeek shipped V4 tuned to Huawei GPUs, and Anthropic warned an AI model could fully train its successor by 2028.

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Russia's spring-summer offensive is at peak intensity with forces 'expending resources rather than accumulating', Ukrainian command says

Russian forces have entered the active phase of their spring-summer offensive against Ukraine, with the campaign already at peak intensity and Russian troops 'not accumulating resources but rather expending them', Viktor Trehubov, head of the communications department of Ukraine's Joint Forces, said on the national 24/7 newscast cited by Ukrinform. Trehubov said armoured-vehicle use remains minimal because added protection layers only invite one more drone, and that a battlefield saturated with drones is shifting an increasing share of work to ground robotic systems, with warm, dry weather aiding strike activity.

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Trump abandons Hormuz operation a day after announcing it as US-Israel campaign on Iran reaches 60 days with regime intact

Two months into the US-Israeli war on Iran, intensive bombing has failed to decapitate the Iranian regime or degrade its military capabilities, while Iran's continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens the global economy. President Trump announced a military operation on May 4 to force the strait, then dropped it the next day; Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the war 'finished' the same day, only for Trump to counter with the threat of 'much stronger' bombings absent diplomatic progress. Iran's allies struck the United Arab Emirates on May 5, while a ceasefire that has held since April 8 has left the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and Tehran's strait closure both in place ahead of Trump's May 14-15 Beijing visit.

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Ukraine sends chief negotiator Rustem Umerov to US for peace talks as negotiations stall

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has dispatched National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov to meet with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in the U.S., a top Ukrainian official told POLITICO. The trip comes as Moscow-Kyiv peace negotiations mediated by Washington have stalled, with major sticking points including control over the Donbas region and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Zelenskyy has publicly criticized the imbalance in Witkoff's visits — eight trips to Moscow and none to Kyiv — calling it disrespectful.

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Scotland votes for 129 MSPs in 2026 Holyrood election with a record 4,320,981 on the roll and no overnight count

Polling stations across Scotland opened at 07:00 on May 7 for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, with a record 4,320,981 people registered to vote and almost a fifth of the electorate having applied for a postal ballot, according to the Electoral Commission. Voters are choosing 129 members of the Scottish Parliament — 73 in constituencies and 56 across eight regional lists — with polling stations closing at 22:00 and no requirement to show photo ID, unlike in England. For the second consecutive Holyrood vote there will be no overnight count: the Electoral Management Board for Scotland said counting will start at 09:00 on Friday, with first declarations expected in the afternoon and the final results from the Highlands and Islands region not due until about 19:00.

Day in Review

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