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Today 24 August Briefing Read full brief

Ukraine’s offensive reach cannot replace the shield over its cities

Russian barrages killed at least 16 around Kyiv and 16 more at a Kryvyi Rih shopping centre while Ukraine’s Patriot batteries ran nearly empty. Kyiv struck refineries, aircraft and air defences deep inside Russia, but Zelensky’s request for 300 to 360 interceptors shows that offensive success still cannot buy safety before winter.

Key Indicators
Full catalog · 12

Upcoming

17 key official events ahead
September 2026
Parliament
Verkhovna Rada opens autumn session (Ninth convocation)

Parliament's autumn session opens on the first Tuesday of September, as fixed by Article 83 of the Constitution. First plenary sittings set the autumn legislative agenda (budget 2027, mobilization, EU-accession laws).

Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — August 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering August 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

Other
IMF Executive Board — second review of EFF arrangement

Second review of the 48-month US$8.1bn EFF approved 26 Feb 2026, expected on or after 1 September 2026; completion would release a further 2026 tranche (the programme envisages about US$3.8bn across 2026). (Provisional — exact Board date depends on the staff mission and benchmarks.)

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (September)

Scheduled NBU Board monetary policy meeting; decision and press briefing at 14:00 Kyiv time. An interim 'risk-assessment' meeting (no new full forecast).

October 2026
Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — September 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering September 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

Parliament
Verkhovna Rada vote — martial law and mobilization extension

Next 90-day extension of martial law and general mobilization, voted before the period that began 2 August 2026 lapses (~late October / early November). (Provisional date within the window.)

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (October)

Scheduled NBU Board monetary policy meeting; decision and press briefing at 14:00 Kyiv time. A quarterly 'forecast' meeting accompanied by a new Inflation Report.

November 2026
Statistics
NBU Inflation Report (Q4) publication

Quarterly macroeconomic forecast and Inflation Report accompanying the October key-rate decision, published per the official monetary-policy publications schedule.

Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — October 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering October 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

December 2026
Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — November 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering November 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (December)

Final scheduled NBU Board monetary policy meeting of 2026; decision and press briefing at 14:00 Kyiv time. An interim 'risk-assessment' meeting closing out the year.

January 2027
Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — December 2026 inflation (full-year)

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering December 2026, giving full-year 2026 inflation (~9th-11th of January). Provisional exact day.

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (January) — provisional

First NBU Board monetary policy meeting of 2027, a quarterly forecast meeting with a new Inflation Report. (Provisional — the NBU had not yet published its 2027 meeting calendar; date estimated from the usual late-January Thursday slot.)

February 2027
Parliament
Verkhovna Rada opens spring session (Ninth convocation)

Parliament's spring session opens on the first Tuesday of February per Article 83 of the Constitution. (Provisional — exact opening sitting depends on the published 2027 sessional calendar.)

March 2027
Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (March) — provisional

Interim 'risk-assessment' NBU Board monetary policy meeting. (Provisional — 2027 calendar not yet published; date estimated from the typical mid-March Thursday slot.)

April 2027
Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (April) — provisional

Quarterly forecast NBU Board meeting with a new Inflation Report; markets watch for the start of the easing cycle (the NBU signalled no cuts before Q2 2027). (Provisional — 2027 calendar not yet published; date estimated from the typical late-April Thursday slot.)

June 2027
Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (June) — provisional

Interim 'risk-assessment' NBU Board monetary policy meeting. (Provisional — 2027 calendar not yet published; date estimated from the typical mid-June Thursday slot.)

Ukraine

Recent events

24
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ua48

Ukraine expands long-range drone campaign, accepting rising Russian civilian casualties

Background: Ukraine has intensified long-range drone strikes on Russian oil infrastructure and deep into Moscow to reduce Russian revenues and disrupt military production. Today's development: Ukraine has broadened its long-range drone campaign beyond military targets to include oil and gas infrastructure and major logistics hubs like Wildberries, explicitly aiming to bring the war home to Russians. This shift has led to a marked increase in Russian civilian casualties, with 79 killed in July 2026 alone, according to Russian authorities. Ukrainian officials defend the strategy as legitimate economic warfare, while Western analysts warn of risks to international support and note the distinction from Russia's deliberate targeting of Ukrainian civilians.

Show summary

Background: Ukraine has intensified long-range drone strikes on Russian oil infrastructure and deep into Moscow to reduce Russian revenues and disrupt military production. Today's development: Ukraine has broadened its long-range drone campaign beyond military targets to include oil and gas infrastructure and major logistics hubs like Wildberries, explicitly aiming to bring the war home to Russians. This shift has led to a marked increase in Russian civilian casualties, with 79 killed in July 2026 alone, according to Russian authorities. Ukrainian officials defend the strategy as legitimate economic warfare, while Western analysts warn of risks to international support and note the distinction from Russia's deliberate targeting of Ukrainian civilians.

ua46

EU pledges continued support and new sanctions as Ukraine marks Independence Day amid escalating drone attacks

On Ukraine's Independence Day, EU Council President Antonio Costa pledged continued support, including a new 90 billion euro loan, and threatened new sanctions against Russia, saying the EU will increase pressure until Russia ends the killing and shows serious peace willingness. Norway pledged an additional 9.2 billion dollars in aid for 2027. Meanwhile, Russia reported two children killed in a Ukrainian drone attack on Krasnodar, and Ukraine reported three killed in a Russian attack near Kharkiv. Russia also withdrew its ambassador from London, citing Britain's support for Ukraine.

Show summary

On Ukraine's Independence Day, EU Council President Antonio Costa pledged continued support, including a new 90 billion euro loan, and threatened new sanctions against Russia, saying the EU will increase pressure until Russia ends the killing and shows serious peace willingness. Norway pledged an additional 9.2 billion dollars in aid for 2027. Meanwhile, Russia reported two children killed in a Ukrainian drone attack on Krasnodar, and Ukraine reported three killed in a Russian attack near Kharkiv. Russia also withdrew its ambassador from London, citing Britain's support for Ukraine.

ua48

Zelensky and Western Allies Urge US to Provide Patriot Interceptors for Winter Defense

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and visiting Western officials, including former US Vice President Mike Pence and Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, are pressing the United States to supply Patriot interceptor missiles to counter Russian ballistic missile strikes. Zelensky requested 5-10% of US Patriot inventory, while Frederiksen called for European unity and more Patriot systems. The urgency stems from depleted US stockpiles due to the Iran war and anticipated Russian attacks on energy infrastructure as winter approaches. The discussions occurred during the Ukraine–Nordic-Baltic Eight summit and meetings with US senators and former envoy Keith Kellogg.

Show summary

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and visiting Western officials, including former US Vice President Mike Pence and Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, are pressing the United States to supply Patriot interceptor missiles to counter Russian ballistic missile strikes. Zelensky requested 5-10% of US Patriot inventory, while Frederiksen called for European unity and more Patriot systems. The urgency stems from depleted US stockpiles due to the Iran war and anticipated Russian attacks on energy infrastructure as winter approaches. The discussions occurred during the Ukraine–Nordic-Baltic Eight summit and meetings with US senators and former envoy Keith Kellogg.

ua43

Ukrainian drones strike Russian aircraft and air-defense systems across southern Russia and Crimea

On 23 August, Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces reported striking 14 Russian targets, including two fighter jets (Su-30SM and MiG-29), an Orion drone, eight radar systems, a Tor and Pantsir launcher, and an S-400 position. Eleven targets were in Rostov Oblast and Krasnodar Krai, three in occupied Crimea. The strikes, reaching 300 km from the front line, continue a campaign to degrade Russia's air-defense network, widening corridors for Ukrainian long-range weapons.

Show summary

On 23 August, Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces reported striking 14 Russian targets, including two fighter jets (Su-30SM and MiG-29), an Orion drone, eight radar systems, a Tor and Pantsir launcher, and an S-400 position. Eleven targets were in Rostov Oblast and Krasnodar Krai, three in occupied Crimea. The strikes, reaching 300 km from the front line, continue a campaign to degrade Russia's air-defense network, widening corridors for Ukrainian long-range weapons.

ua40

UN Security Council to Convene on Ukraine's Independence Day Amid Rising Civilian Casualties

The UN Security Council will hold a formal meeting on August 24, Ukraine's Independence Day, to address Russia's ongoing war against Ukraine. Initiated by Denmark, France, Greece, Latvia, and the UK, the session will be chaired by Danish Foreign Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen and feature briefings from UN officials Rosemary DiCarlo and Tom Fletcher. The meeting comes amid a UN-documented 37% increase in civilian casualties in Ukraine during the first half of 2026, driven by Russian long-range missiles and drones targeting urban areas and short-range drones and glide bombs in frontline regions. The UN Human Rights Office has reiterated that attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure constitute war crimes and called for accountability.

Show summary

The UN Security Council will hold a formal meeting on August 24, Ukraine's Independence Day, to address Russia's ongoing war against Ukraine. Initiated by Denmark, France, Greece, Latvia, and the UK, the session will be chaired by Danish Foreign Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen and feature briefings from UN officials Rosemary DiCarlo and Tom Fletcher. The meeting comes amid a UN-documented 37% increase in civilian casualties in Ukraine during the first half of 2026, driven by Russian long-range missiles and drones targeting urban areas and short-range drones and glide bombs in frontline regions. The UN Human Rights Office has reiterated that attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure constitute war crimes and called for accountability.

ua39

Analysts warn Russian advance threatens Sloviansk and Kramatorsk by December 2026

Background: Russian forces have been advancing on Kramatorsk and Sloviansk in Donetsk Oblast, but have faced infantry shortages that have stalled their standard urban-capture strategy. Today: Ukrainian military analysts warn that Russian forces, now 12-13 km from the cities, could infiltrate them by December 2026 if the advance continues. The eastern flank lost 21 square kilometers in the third week of August alone, with Russia's 3rd Combined Arms Army exploiting the hilly terrain of the Cretaceous Flora reserve. Analysts urge immediate reinforcement, suggesting the 3rd Army Corps, but caution that once infiltration begins, reinforcement may only delay inevitable loss, threatening Ukraine's defense in Donbas.

Show summary

Background: Russian forces have been advancing on Kramatorsk and Sloviansk in Donetsk Oblast, but have faced infantry shortages that have stalled their standard urban-capture strategy. Today: Ukrainian military analysts warn that Russian forces, now 12-13 km from the cities, could infiltrate them by December 2026 if the advance continues. The eastern flank lost 21 square kilometers in the third week of August alone, with Russia's 3rd Combined Arms Army exploiting the hilly terrain of the Cretaceous Flora reserve. Analysts urge immediate reinforcement, suggesting the 3rd Army Corps, but caution that once infiltration begins, reinforcement may only delay inevitable loss, threatening Ukraine's defense in Donbas.

ua38

Ukraine's drone campaign hits 242 Russian shadow fleet ships, blocks Kerch Strait

Background: Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces and SBU have been striking Russian shadow fleet vessels in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov, targeting maritime fuel supply routes to occupied Crimea. New development: As of August 22, Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces commander Robert 'Madyar' Brovdi reported that Operation MoLoChKa has struck 242 Russian shadow fleet vessels since July 6, with 134 in the Sea of Azov and 108 in the Black Sea. In August alone, 36 vessels were hit. The operation aims to block Russian maritime movements through the Kerch Strait and restrict traffic in the northern and northeastern Black Sea.

Show summary

Background: Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces and SBU have been striking Russian shadow fleet vessels in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov, targeting maritime fuel supply routes to occupied Crimea. New development: As of August 22, Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces commander Robert 'Madyar' Brovdi reported that Operation MoLoChKa has struck 242 Russian shadow fleet vessels since July 6, with 134 in the Sea of Azov and 108 in the Black Sea. In August alone, 36 vessels were hit. The operation aims to block Russian maritime movements through the Kerch Strait and restrict traffic in the northern and northeastern Black Sea.

ua37

Ukraine confirms destruction of Su-24M at Saky airfield and strikes on Russian airfields and logistics

Background: Ukrainian National Guard special forces used combat drones to destroy a Russian Su-24M bomber at Saky Military Airfield in Crimea. On Aug. 22, President Zelensky confirmed the destruction of the Su-24M and four pieces of aviation equipment at Saky. The General Staff also confirmed damage from an Aug. 20 strike on Primorsko-Akhtarsk airfield, including a Niobi radar station and 18 UAV storage warehouses. Concurrent drone strikes targeted the Yeysk seaport, Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery, and an Ozon fulfillment center in Samara, part of Ukraine's ongoing campaign to degrade Russian military and economic capabilities.

Show summary

Background: Ukrainian National Guard special forces used combat drones to destroy a Russian Su-24M bomber at Saky Military Airfield in Crimea. On Aug. 22, President Zelensky confirmed the destruction of the Su-24M and four pieces of aviation equipment at Saky. The General Staff also confirmed damage from an Aug. 20 strike on Primorsko-Akhtarsk airfield, including a Niobi radar station and 18 UAV storage warehouses. Concurrent drone strikes targeted the Yeysk seaport, Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery, and an Ozon fulfillment center in Samara, part of Ukraine's ongoing campaign to degrade Russian military and economic capabilities.

Frequently Asked

5
How many people were killed in the Russian attacks on Ukraine this week?
At least 16 people were killed in Kyiv and the surrounding region, and at least 16 were killed in the Kryvyi Rih shopping centre strike, for a total of at least 32 deaths.
Why is Ukraine facing a Patriot interceptor shortage?
Patriot interceptors are the only weapons able to stop Russian ballistic missiles, and deliveries have fallen as the Iran war consumes US stocks. The American inventory has fallen by at least 65 percent since the Gulf war began.
How many additional Patriot missiles does Ukraine want?
President Zelensky said Ukraine wants 300 additional missiles for winter, while the air force requested 360.
What targets has Ukraine struck inside Russia?
Ukraine hit the TANECO refinery in Tatarstan, the Tamanneftegaz terminal, and a 500-kilovolt substation feeding occupied Crimea, plus Russian aircraft, radars and S-400 positions.
What did UN monitors say about the Kryvyi Rih mall attack?
UN monitors said the mall attack appeared to breach international humanitarian law.