Archive
Ukraine

Recent events

32
Filter
ua49

Russia Threatens Winter 'Freeze' on Ukraine as Kyiv Faces Patriot Missile Shortage

Russia's Defense Ministry openly threatened to 'freeze' Ukraine this winter, posting a photo of attack drones on Telegram with the caption 'In winter you will get a freeze.' The threat comes as Ukraine enters the cold season with only about 1% of the Patriot interceptor missiles it needs to stop Russian ballistic strikes, according to President Zelenskyy. Russia has systematically targeted Ukraine's energy grid since late 2022, and recent attacks have proven difficult to intercept. The threat follows a major Ukrainian strike on Russia's Novorossiysk port and a Ukrainian proposal for a mutual halt to Black Sea attacks on civilian ships, which Russia rejected. Finland announced €28.5 million in funding for a power plant project to help Ukraine. In response to Russia's winter threat, Ukraine's Defense Ministry and Strategic Communications Department posted images of burning oil refineries with captions like 'Winter will be hot' and 'We'll warm ourselves by the fire of Russian oil refineries.' Ukrainian defense company Fire Point also posted 'Let's talk about winter after autumn.' This exchange underscores ongoing information warfare and signals potential Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure in response to Moscow's threats.

Show summary

Russia's Defense Ministry openly threatened to 'freeze' Ukraine this winter, posting a photo of attack drones on Telegram with the caption 'In winter you will get a freeze.' The threat comes as Ukraine enters the cold season with only about 1% of the Patriot interceptor missiles it needs to stop Russian ballistic strikes, according to President Zelenskyy. Russia has systematically targeted Ukraine's energy grid since late 2022, and recent attacks have proven difficult to intercept. The threat follows a major Ukrainian strike on Russia's Novorossiysk port and a Ukrainian proposal for a mutual halt to Black Sea attacks on civilian ships, which Russia rejected. Finland announced €28.5 million in funding for a power plant project to help Ukraine. In response to Russia's winter threat, Ukraine's Defense Ministry and Strategic Communications Department posted images of burning oil refineries with captions like 'Winter will be hot' and 'We'll warm ourselves by the fire of Russian oil refineries.' Ukrainian defense company Fire Point also posted 'Let's talk about winter after autumn.' This exchange underscores ongoing information warfare and signals potential Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure in response to Moscow's threats.

ua48

Zelensky Submits New Peace Proposals to US, Warns Against Land Concessions

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine has submitted new peace proposals to US negotiators, calling for stronger American involvement and increased pressure on Russia. He rejected any withdrawal from Donbas areas under Kyiv's control and stressed that credible security guarantees are essential to prevent Russia from rebuilding and invading again. Zelensky also warned that Putin might target a smaller NATO member, possibly in the Baltics, if he cannot achieve a major victory in Ukraine.

Show summary

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine has submitted new peace proposals to US negotiators, calling for stronger American involvement and increased pressure on Russia. He rejected any withdrawal from Donbas areas under Kyiv's control and stressed that credible security guarantees are essential to prevent Russia from rebuilding and invading again. Zelensky also warned that Putin might target a smaller NATO member, possibly in the Baltics, if he cannot achieve a major victory in Ukraine.

ua45

ISW: Ukraine Advances in Oleksandrivka Counteroffensive, Strikes Novorossiysk

Background: ISW previously reported that Russian forces are no longer achieving significant breakthroughs along the front line, with Ukrainian adaptations slowing Russian advances in 2026. New development: On August 12, 2026, ISW reported that Ukrainian forces made tactical advances in the Oleksandrivka direction counteroffensive (January–August 2026) and near Kupyansk, while Russian forces advanced near Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka. Russia launched a large-scale missile and drone strike on Ukraine, and Ukraine struck Russian naval and grain infrastructure in Novorossiysk. Zelensky warned of potential Russian reserve call-ups after the September Duma elections. On August 12, 2026, Ukrainian officials announced results of the Oleksandrivka direction counteroffensive, showcasing tactical advances and reintroducing limited mechanized maneuver. Ukrainian forces also advanced near Kupyansk, while Russian forces advanced near Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka. Russia launched one Iskander-M, one Kh-31P, Kh-35 cruise missiles, and 138 drones overnight. Ukrainian forces conducted a large strike on Russian naval and grain infrastructure in Novorossiysk. Zelensky warned of potential large-scale involuntary reserve call-ups after the September 2026 Duma elections. The Kremlin is deterring Japan and the EU on defense and shadow fleet issues.

Show summary

Background: ISW previously reported that Russian forces are no longer achieving significant breakthroughs along the front line, with Ukrainian adaptations slowing Russian advances in 2026. New development: On August 12, 2026, ISW reported that Ukrainian forces made tactical advances in the Oleksandrivka direction counteroffensive (January–August 2026) and near Kupyansk, while Russian forces advanced near Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka. Russia launched a large-scale missile and drone strike on Ukraine, and Ukraine struck Russian naval and grain infrastructure in Novorossiysk. Zelensky warned of potential Russian reserve call-ups after the September Duma elections. On August 12, 2026, Ukrainian officials announced results of the Oleksandrivka direction counteroffensive, showcasing tactical advances and reintroducing limited mechanized maneuver. Ukrainian forces also advanced near Kupyansk, while Russian forces advanced near Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka. Russia launched one Iskander-M, one Kh-31P, Kh-35 cruise missiles, and 138 drones overnight. Ukrainian forces conducted a large strike on Russian naval and grain infrastructure in Novorossiysk. Zelensky warned of potential large-scale involuntary reserve call-ups after the September 2026 Duma elections. The Kremlin is deterring Japan and the EU on defense and shadow fleet issues.

ua43

Ukrainian drone operators defeat US armored brigade in German war games

Background: In May 2025, Ukrainian drone operators demonstrated their advanced capabilities during NATO's Hedgehog exercise in Estonia, neutralizing two NATO battalions. In April-May 2026, during NATO's Combined Resolve exercise at Hohenfels, Germany, Ukrainian drone operators from the 412th 'Nemesis' Regiment repeatedly 'destroyed' a 3,500-strong US armored brigade (3rd Armored Brigade Combat Team, 1st Cavalry Division) in simulated combat. The Ukrainian drones exploited dust plumes from US vehicles for targeting, and kills were so rapid that exercise officials had to 're-spawn' destroyed vehicles to continue the drill. The US Army did not publicly acknowledge Ukrainian participation. The exercise highlighted the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone tactics against conventional forces, prompting the Pentagon to test Ukrainian drones for procurement and use Ukrainian counter-drone technology to protect US troops in the Middle East. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has increased American troops sent to Ukraine to study drone warfare. Similar Ukrainian drone victories occurred in NATO exercises in Estonia (Hedgehog 2025) and Sweden (Aurora 26), where Ukrainian operators destroyed dozens of NATO vehicles.

Show summary

Background: In May 2025, Ukrainian drone operators demonstrated their advanced capabilities during NATO's Hedgehog exercise in Estonia, neutralizing two NATO battalions. In April-May 2026, during NATO's Combined Resolve exercise at Hohenfels, Germany, Ukrainian drone operators from the 412th 'Nemesis' Regiment repeatedly 'destroyed' a 3,500-strong US armored brigade (3rd Armored Brigade Combat Team, 1st Cavalry Division) in simulated combat. The Ukrainian drones exploited dust plumes from US vehicles for targeting, and kills were so rapid that exercise officials had to 're-spawn' destroyed vehicles to continue the drill. The US Army did not publicly acknowledge Ukrainian participation. The exercise highlighted the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone tactics against conventional forces, prompting the Pentagon to test Ukrainian drones for procurement and use Ukrainian counter-drone technology to protect US troops in the Middle East. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has increased American troops sent to Ukraine to study drone warfare. Similar Ukrainian drone victories occurred in NATO exercises in Estonia (Hedgehog 2025) and Sweden (Aurora 26), where Ukrainian operators destroyed dozens of NATO vehicles.

ua41

Poland and Ukraine Finalize MiG-29-for-Drones Swap as Bulgaria's Interest Accelerates Talks

Background: Poland and Ukraine had resumed negotiations on exchanging MiG-29 fighter jets for Ukrainian drone technology, with Bulgaria competing for the jets and Poland confirming its interest. Today: Poland and Ukraine are in final negotiations to transfer Poland's retiring MiG-29s to Ukraine in exchange for drones and drone-warfare know-how, with the jets potentially shipping within weeks. Bulgarian interest has accelerated talks, and Poland has laid out specific technology demands, including data on strike-drone communications and hardware samples. Ukrainian company Fire Point has offered 1,500 long-range drones, but Poland remains cautious about the deal's implementation. Polish Deputy Defense Minister Cezary Tomczyk confirmed that Bulgaria's competing interest has accelerated negotiations, with the jets potentially shipping within weeks. Poland seeks data on strike-drone communications links, control principles, footage of strikes, and physical hardware samples. Ukrainian drone maker Fire Point has offered 1,500 long-range drones plus a matching batch in case of war, though Poland views this cautiously due to potential force majeure. The deal covers six to eight jets, and talks have progressed after Rustem Umerov took over as head of Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service.

Show summary

Background: Poland and Ukraine had resumed negotiations on exchanging MiG-29 fighter jets for Ukrainian drone technology, with Bulgaria competing for the jets and Poland confirming its interest. Today: Poland and Ukraine are in final negotiations to transfer Poland's retiring MiG-29s to Ukraine in exchange for drones and drone-warfare know-how, with the jets potentially shipping within weeks. Bulgarian interest has accelerated talks, and Poland has laid out specific technology demands, including data on strike-drone communications and hardware samples. Ukrainian company Fire Point has offered 1,500 long-range drones, but Poland remains cautious about the deal's implementation. Polish Deputy Defense Minister Cezary Tomczyk confirmed that Bulgaria's competing interest has accelerated negotiations, with the jets potentially shipping within weeks. Poland seeks data on strike-drone communications links, control principles, footage of strikes, and physical hardware samples. Ukrainian drone maker Fire Point has offered 1,500 long-range drones plus a matching batch in case of war, though Poland views this cautiously due to potential force majeure. The deal covers six to eight jets, and talks have progressed after Rustem Umerov took over as head of Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service.

ua40

Ukraine Strikes Wildberries Logistics Hubs, Disrupting Russian Military Supply Chains

Ukraine has intensified its bombing campaign against Wildberries, Russia's largest online retailer, targeting its centralized logistics hubs that have been used as informal supply channels for dual-use goods and military equipment to Russian forces. The strikes, which began in mid-summer 2026, have caused an estimated $5 billion in losses for online retailers and have exposed VTB, Russia's state-owned second-largest bank, to financial risk due to its equity partnership with Wildberries. This campaign is part of Ukraine's broader strategy to degrade Russia's war economy and military supply lines, while Russia continues its own bombardment of Ukrainian cities, causing significant civilian casualties.

Show summary

Ukraine has intensified its bombing campaign against Wildberries, Russia's largest online retailer, targeting its centralized logistics hubs that have been used as informal supply channels for dual-use goods and military equipment to Russian forces. The strikes, which began in mid-summer 2026, have caused an estimated $5 billion in losses for online retailers and have exposed VTB, Russia's state-owned second-largest bank, to financial risk due to its equity partnership with Wildberries. This campaign is part of Ukraine's broader strategy to degrade Russia's war economy and military supply lines, while Russia continues its own bombardment of Ukrainian cities, causing significant civilian casualties.

ua39

SBU detains two FSB agents who helped target strikes on Dnipro

Ukraine's SBU detained two FSB agents—a mother and brother of a previously exposed Russian agent—who helped target defense industry facilities in Dnipro for Russian strikes. They tracked locations and aftermath of attacks, coordinating with the FSB. They face charges of high treason during martial law and could receive life imprisonment.

Show summary

Ukraine's SBU detained two FSB agents—a mother and brother of a previously exposed Russian agent—who helped target defense industry facilities in Dnipro for Russian strikes. They tracked locations and aftermath of attacks, coordinating with the FSB. They face charges of high treason during martial law and could receive life imprisonment.

ua38

SBU dismantles 14-member Russian spy ring targeting Ukrainian air bases

Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) dismantled a 14-member Russian intelligence network working for the GRU that gathered information on Ukrainian airfields hosting Western-supplied F-16 and Mirage 2000 fighter jets. The network, led by a Lviv-based blogger, recruited 13 spotters to photograph military aircraft and track movements. The SBU blocked four Telegram channels and charged the main agent, an accomplice, and a Ukrainian serviceman with crimes against national security.

Show summary

Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) dismantled a 14-member Russian intelligence network working for the GRU that gathered information on Ukrainian airfields hosting Western-supplied F-16 and Mirage 2000 fighter jets. The network, led by a Lviv-based blogger, recruited 13 spotters to photograph military aircraft and track movements. The SBU blocked four Telegram channels and charged the main agent, an accomplice, and a Ukrainian serviceman with crimes against national security.