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Trump Can't End Iran War, So He Changes Subject
This was the week the Iran war stopped being a foreign-policy story for Americans and became a domestic one: inflation hit a three-year high of 4.2%, petrol is up 39% since the fighting began, and a hundred days in the average household is $750 poorer. The economy is somehow still adding jobs. But unable to end the war that is driving the prices, the president spent the week fighting on every other front instead — his own last election, naturalised citizens, China, and the spy law that briefs him each morning.
Weekly briefBritain Runs Out of Money for Defence and Order
John Healey's resignation as defence secretary was not an ordinary reshuffle: he walked out accusing Keir Starmer and the Treasury of refusing to pay for Britain's defence at the most dangerous moment since the Cold War, the week the entire fleet of attack submarines sat in dock. And as the state struggled to fund the things that keep a country safe abroad, it was visibly losing its grip on order at home — the Henry Nowak murder, riots in Belfast, a stabbing in a Manchester school. A government is meant to be able to do both. This one, this week, could do neither.
Weekly briefFrance Arms Europe as Politics Turn Against EU
France spent the week as Europe’s indispensable power — hosting the G7 at Évian, extending its nuclear umbrella to eight allies, presiding over Eurosatory, the West’s biggest arms fair. Yet a new poll put the far right’s Jordan Bardella on 35 percent for 2027, fifteen points clear, on a platform of calling the EU “obsolete” and halving France’s payments to it — and a July 7 court ruling may leave his party with no eligible candidate at all.
Weekly briefMerz Bets Germany's Future on Autonomy as US Pulls 5,000 Troops
Friedrich Merz has made his choice: a Germany less dependent on an America it no longer trusts. This week he absorbed the loss of 5,000 US troops pulled out over his criticism of the Iran war, killed the €100bn FCAS fighter jet with France, and offered Ukraine a seat inside the EU. It is a coherent bet on strategic autonomy. The catch is that the costs are arriving at home — a suspected extremist arson that blacked out 40,000 homes, and a record 85,837 politically motivated crimes — before the autonomy does.
Weekly briefUkraine Offers to Freeze War by Escalating Strikes
Ukraine spent the week doing two things that only look contradictory: offering to freeze the war and fighting it harder than ever. Zelenskyy signalled he would accept halting the conflict along the current front line, and Europe lined up behind him. At the same time his long-range drones set Russia's fuel system alight, spreading petrol shortages to 25 regions. The escalation is not at odds with the peace offer — it is what gives the offer its weight. Whether Moscow ever picks it up depends less on the talks than on how dry Russia's pumps run.
Weekly briefErdoğan Declares Turkey a 'Playmaker' at Security Conference
Erdoğan spent the week looking indispensable to the world — mediating between Washington and Tehran, branding Turkey a regional 'playmaker', and savaging Netanyahu over Gaza. It is real influence, and it has a domestic use. The more the West needs Ankara, the freer his hand at home, where he has jailed his strongest rival and hundreds of opposition officials and will host NATO's leaders next month behind 40,000 security personnel. The same assertiveness that makes Turkey useful to Washington also had its jets harassing European defence ministers off Cyprus.
Weekly briefAll Events
Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.
ua48Ukraine strikes Crimea infrastructure and Russian energy targets in coordinated long-range campaign
On June 21-22, 2026, Ukrainian forces conducted a series of coordinated long-range strikes targeting Russian military logistics, energy infrastructure, and air defense systems in occupied Crimea and deep inside Russia. In Crimea, strikes hit fuel terminals in Kerch and Port Kavkaz, the Tavriyska Thermal Power Plant, railway bridges, and S-400 and Pantsir air defense systems protecting the Kerch Bridge. In Russia, an upgraded Fire Point FP-1 drone with a 3,000 km range struck the Antipinsky oil refinery in Tyumen, over 2,000 km from the border. The attacks caused fires, power outages, and fuel rationing in Crimea, and forced the temporary closure of all four Moscow airports after 70-84 drones were intercepted near the capital. The campaign aims to degrade Russia's ability to supply and reinforce its forces in southern Ukraine and to reduce Russian oil revenues.
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Ukraine strikes Crimea infrastructure and Russian energy targets in coordinated long-range campaign
On June 21-22, 2026, Ukrainian forces conducted a series of coordinated long-range strikes targeting Russian military logistics, energy infrastructure, and air defense systems in occupied Crimea and deep inside Russia. In Crimea, strikes hit fuel terminals in Kerch and Port Kavkaz, the Tavriyska Thermal Power Plant, railway bridges, and S-400 and Pantsir air defense systems protecting the Kerch Bridge. In Russia, an upgraded Fire Point FP-1 drone with a 3,000 km range struck the Antipinsky oil refinery in Tyumen, over 2,000 km from the border. The attacks caused fires, power outages, and fuel rationing in Crimea, and forced the temporary closure of all four Moscow airports after 70-84 drones were intercepted near the capital. The campaign aims to degrade Russia's ability to supply and reinforce its forces in southern Ukraine and to reduce Russian oil revenues.
On June 21-22, 2026, Ukrainian forces conducted a series of coordinated long-range strikes targeting Russian military logistics, energy infrastructure, and air defense systems in occupied Crimea and deep inside Russia. In Crimea, strikes hit fuel terminals in Kerch and Port Kavkaz, the Tavriyska Thermal Power Plant, railway bridges, and S-400 and Pantsir air defense systems protecting the Kerch Bridge. In Russia, an upgraded Fire Point FP-1 drone with a 3,000 km range struck the Antipinsky oil refinery in Tyumen, over 2,000 km from the border. The attacks caused fires, power outages, and fuel rationing in Crimea, and forced the temporary closure of all four Moscow airports after 70-84 drones were intercepted near the capital. The campaign aims to degrade Russia's ability to supply and reinforce its forces in southern Ukraine and to reduce Russian oil revenues.
gb48UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigns, triggering Labour leadership contest
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced his resignation as Labour Party leader on June 22, 2026, after losing the support of his parliamentary party following poor local election results and a by-election victory by rival Andy Burnham. Starmer will remain as caretaker prime minister until a successor is chosen, with nominations opening July 9 and a new leader expected by September. Andy Burnham, who won the Makerfield by-election with 55% of the vote, is the frontrunner to succeed Starmer and become prime minister, with potential rivals Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner backing him. The resignation marks the seventh change of UK prime minister in a decade, highlighting prolonged political instability.
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UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigns, triggering Labour leadership contest
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced his resignation as Labour Party leader on June 22, 2026, after losing the support of his parliamentary party following poor local election results and a by-election victory by rival Andy Burnham. Starmer will remain as caretaker prime minister until a successor is chosen, with nominations opening July 9 and a new leader expected by September. Andy Burnham, who won the Makerfield by-election with 55% of the vote, is the frontrunner to succeed Starmer and become prime minister, with potential rivals Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner backing him. The resignation marks the seventh change of UK prime minister in a decade, highlighting prolonged political instability.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced his resignation as Labour Party leader on June 22, 2026, after losing the support of his parliamentary party following poor local election results and a by-election victory by rival Andy Burnham. Starmer will remain as caretaker prime minister until a successor is chosen, with nominations opening July 9 and a new leader expected by September. Andy Burnham, who won the Makerfield by-election with 55% of the vote, is the frontrunner to succeed Starmer and become prime minister, with potential rivals Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner backing him. The resignation marks the seventh change of UK prime minister in a decade, highlighting prolonged political instability.
us44US and Iran agree on 60-day roadmap for final deal after marathon talks in Switzerland
The United States and Iran concluded their first high-level talks in Bürgenstock, Switzerland, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, agreeing on a 60-day roadmap toward a final deal to end the war. Key outcomes include Iran's agreement to invite IAEA nuclear inspectors back, a US Treasury waiver temporarily lifting sanctions on Iranian oil exports until August 21, 2026, and the establishment of a communication line for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz and a deconfliction cell for Lebanon. US Vice President JD Vance described the talks as laying a 'good foundation' for a final settlement, while Iran's foreign ministry stated no new nuclear commitments were made. Technical negotiations will continue in the coming weeks.
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US and Iran agree on 60-day roadmap for final deal after marathon talks in Switzerland
The United States and Iran concluded their first high-level talks in Bürgenstock, Switzerland, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, agreeing on a 60-day roadmap toward a final deal to end the war. Key outcomes include Iran's agreement to invite IAEA nuclear inspectors back, a US Treasury waiver temporarily lifting sanctions on Iranian oil exports until August 21, 2026, and the establishment of a communication line for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz and a deconfliction cell for Lebanon. US Vice President JD Vance described the talks as laying a 'good foundation' for a final settlement, while Iran's foreign ministry stated no new nuclear commitments were made. Technical negotiations will continue in the coming weeks.
The United States and Iran concluded their first high-level talks in Bürgenstock, Switzerland, mediated by Qatar and Pakistan, agreeing on a 60-day roadmap toward a final deal to end the war. Key outcomes include Iran's agreement to invite IAEA nuclear inspectors back, a US Treasury waiver temporarily lifting sanctions on Iranian oil exports until August 21, 2026, and the establishment of a communication line for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz and a deconfliction cell for Lebanon. US Vice President JD Vance described the talks as laying a 'good foundation' for a final settlement, while Iran's foreign ministry stated no new nuclear commitments were made. Technical negotiations will continue in the coming weeks.
ua44Ukrainian soldiers say Kostiantynivka is a 'gray zone' as Russian infiltration intensifies
Background: Ukrainian monitoring group DeepState reported that Russian forces had reached the outskirts of Kostiantynivka and were infiltrating the city, mirroring gradual siege tactics used at Pokrovsk. Today: Ukrainian soldiers told BBC Ukrainian that the entire city is now a contested 'gray zone' with neither side in full control, contradicting Brigadier General Oleksandr Bakulin's assessment that the situation is not critical. Approximately 130 Russian troops are inside the city, with infantry reaching the northern outskirts near the exit toward Druzhkivka. Russian forces are infiltrating from the south and east, mirroring the tactic used at Pokrovsk. Russian drone pilots have prioritized destroying Ukrainian drone launch sites, making it harder to counter infiltration. Supply routes are constantly targeted, and logistical drones are regularly intercepted. A Ukrainian officer said they lack reinforcements and commanders are reluctant to report lost positions. DeepState warns the fall of Kostiantynivka is 'a matter of time' and would make remaining in Kramatorsk 'extremely dangerous', threatening the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk agglomeration.
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Ukrainian soldiers say Kostiantynivka is a 'gray zone' as Russian infiltration intensifies
Background: Ukrainian monitoring group DeepState reported that Russian forces had reached the outskirts of Kostiantynivka and were infiltrating the city, mirroring gradual siege tactics used at Pokrovsk. Today: Ukrainian soldiers told BBC Ukrainian that the entire city is now a contested 'gray zone' with neither side in full control, contradicting Brigadier General Oleksandr Bakulin's assessment that the situation is not critical. Approximately 130 Russian troops are inside the city, with infantry reaching the northern outskirts near the exit toward Druzhkivka. Russian forces are infiltrating from the south and east, mirroring the tactic used at Pokrovsk. Russian drone pilots have prioritized destroying Ukrainian drone launch sites, making it harder to counter infiltration. Supply routes are constantly targeted, and logistical drones are regularly intercepted. A Ukrainian officer said they lack reinforcements and commanders are reluctant to report lost positions. DeepState warns the fall of Kostiantynivka is 'a matter of time' and would make remaining in Kramatorsk 'extremely dangerous', threatening the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk agglomeration.
Background: Ukrainian monitoring group DeepState reported that Russian forces had reached the outskirts of Kostiantynivka and were infiltrating the city, mirroring gradual siege tactics used at Pokrovsk. Today: Ukrainian soldiers told BBC Ukrainian that the entire city is now a contested 'gray zone' with neither side in full control, contradicting Brigadier General Oleksandr Bakulin's assessment that the situation is not critical. Approximately 130 Russian troops are inside the city, with infantry reaching the northern outskirts near the exit toward Druzhkivka. Russian forces are infiltrating from the south and east, mirroring the tactic used at Pokrovsk. Russian drone pilots have prioritized destroying Ukrainian drone launch sites, making it harder to counter infiltration. Supply routes are constantly targeted, and logistical drones are regularly intercepted. A Ukrainian officer said they lack reinforcements and commanders are reluctant to report lost positions. DeepState warns the fall of Kostiantynivka is 'a matter of time' and would make remaining in Kramatorsk 'extremely dangerous', threatening the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk agglomeration.
de44Germany debates extending coal power use amid high gas prices and energy security concerns
Germany, Europe's largest coal user, is reconsidering its coal phase-out timeline due to a surge in global gas prices following the US-Israel-Iran conflict and energy security concerns. A parliamentary committee is studying whether to allow six hard-coal backup plants to operate continuously. The governing coalition is divided, with the CDU/CSU favoring flexibility and the SPD opposing a rollback. A statutory review in August will assess the phase-out's impact on supply and prices.
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Germany debates extending coal power use amid high gas prices and energy security concerns
Germany, Europe's largest coal user, is reconsidering its coal phase-out timeline due to a surge in global gas prices following the US-Israel-Iran conflict and energy security concerns. A parliamentary committee is studying whether to allow six hard-coal backup plants to operate continuously. The governing coalition is divided, with the CDU/CSU favoring flexibility and the SPD opposing a rollback. A statutory review in August will assess the phase-out's impact on supply and prices.
Germany, Europe's largest coal user, is reconsidering its coal phase-out timeline due to a surge in global gas prices following the US-Israel-Iran conflict and energy security concerns. A parliamentary committee is studying whether to allow six hard-coal backup plants to operate continuously. The governing coalition is divided, with the CDU/CSU favoring flexibility and the SPD opposing a rollback. A statutory review in August will assess the phase-out's impact on supply and prices.
tr43Turkey Delivers TCG Koçhisar OPV to Turkish Navy and Corvette CAm. Roman to Romania
On 20 June, Turkish defense company ASFAT and Istanbul Naval Shipyard Command delivered TCG Koçhisar (P-1221), the first Hisar-class offshore patrol vessel, to the Turkish Navy, and corvette CAm. Roman to the Romanian Naval Forces in a ceremony attended by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Romanian President Nicușor Dan. The dual delivery underscores growing defense cooperation between the two NATO Black Sea allies and marks the first export of a Turkish-built naval combatant to a NATO and EU member state. TCG Koçhisar is designed for maritime surveillance, intelligence gathering, EEZ protection, maritime security, search and rescue, and humanitarian assistance, enhancing Turkey's maritime patrol and surveillance capabilities. CAm. Roman, built under an intergovernmental contract signed on 3 December for approximately €223 million, is equipped for reconnaissance, surveillance, patrol, maritime security, and combat operations, strengthening Romania's Black Sea fleet. The Hisar-class OPV program, an evolution of the MILGEM initiative, uses a CODELOD propulsion system for improved fuel efficiency and 50% greater endurance compared to the Ada-class, with a top speed of 24 knots and displacement of 2,300 tons. The Turkish Navy has ordered ten Hisar-class vessels, with construction distributed among Istanbul Naval Shipyard and private yards Desan, Dearsan, and Özata.
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Turkey Delivers TCG Koçhisar OPV to Turkish Navy and Corvette CAm. Roman to Romania
On 20 June, Turkish defense company ASFAT and Istanbul Naval Shipyard Command delivered TCG Koçhisar (P-1221), the first Hisar-class offshore patrol vessel, to the Turkish Navy, and corvette CAm. Roman to the Romanian Naval Forces in a ceremony attended by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Romanian President Nicușor Dan. The dual delivery underscores growing defense cooperation between the two NATO Black Sea allies and marks the first export of a Turkish-built naval combatant to a NATO and EU member state. TCG Koçhisar is designed for maritime surveillance, intelligence gathering, EEZ protection, maritime security, search and rescue, and humanitarian assistance, enhancing Turkey's maritime patrol and surveillance capabilities. CAm. Roman, built under an intergovernmental contract signed on 3 December for approximately €223 million, is equipped for reconnaissance, surveillance, patrol, maritime security, and combat operations, strengthening Romania's Black Sea fleet. The Hisar-class OPV program, an evolution of the MILGEM initiative, uses a CODELOD propulsion system for improved fuel efficiency and 50% greater endurance compared to the Ada-class, with a top speed of 24 knots and displacement of 2,300 tons. The Turkish Navy has ordered ten Hisar-class vessels, with construction distributed among Istanbul Naval Shipyard and private yards Desan, Dearsan, and Özata.
On 20 June, Turkish defense company ASFAT and Istanbul Naval Shipyard Command delivered TCG Koçhisar (P-1221), the first Hisar-class offshore patrol vessel, to the Turkish Navy, and corvette CAm. Roman to the Romanian Naval Forces in a ceremony attended by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Romanian President Nicușor Dan. The dual delivery underscores growing defense cooperation between the two NATO Black Sea allies and marks the first export of a Turkish-built naval combatant to a NATO and EU member state. TCG Koçhisar is designed for maritime surveillance, intelligence gathering, EEZ protection, maritime security, search and rescue, and humanitarian assistance, enhancing Turkey's maritime patrol and surveillance capabilities. CAm. Roman, built under an intergovernmental contract signed on 3 December for approximately €223 million, is equipped for reconnaissance, surveillance, patrol, maritime security, and combat operations, strengthening Romania's Black Sea fleet. The Hisar-class OPV program, an evolution of the MILGEM initiative, uses a CODELOD propulsion system for improved fuel efficiency and 50% greater endurance compared to the Ada-class, with a top speed of 24 knots and displacement of 2,300 tons. The Turkish Navy has ordered ten Hisar-class vessels, with construction distributed among Istanbul Naval Shipyard and private yards Desan, Dearsan, and Özata.
gb39Syrian man arrested for manslaughter after migrant dies in Channel crossing
A 32-year-old Syrian man has been arrested on suspicion of manslaughter after a woman died on a small boat attempting to cross the English Channel to the UK. The woman was found unresponsive in UK waters on Saturday and later declared dead. The incident highlights ongoing dangers of irregular migration across the Channel, with UK and French authorities intensifying enforcement efforts under a new £662m deal, which includes drones, helicopters, and riot-trained police on French beaches. As of the report, 9,852 people had crossed the Channel in 2026, a 40% decrease from the previous year.
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Syrian man arrested for manslaughter after migrant dies in Channel crossing
A 32-year-old Syrian man has been arrested on suspicion of manslaughter after a woman died on a small boat attempting to cross the English Channel to the UK. The woman was found unresponsive in UK waters on Saturday and later declared dead. The incident highlights ongoing dangers of irregular migration across the Channel, with UK and French authorities intensifying enforcement efforts under a new £662m deal, which includes drones, helicopters, and riot-trained police on French beaches. As of the report, 9,852 people had crossed the Channel in 2026, a 40% decrease from the previous year.
A 32-year-old Syrian man has been arrested on suspicion of manslaughter after a woman died on a small boat attempting to cross the English Channel to the UK. The woman was found unresponsive in UK waters on Saturday and later declared dead. The incident highlights ongoing dangers of irregular migration across the Channel, with UK and French authorities intensifying enforcement efforts under a new £662m deal, which includes drones, helicopters, and riot-trained police on French beaches. As of the report, 9,852 people had crossed the Channel in 2026, a 40% decrease from the previous year.
us39Strait of Hormuz oil flow ‘back towards normal’: Energy secretary
Background: Oil prices had declined on market optimism over the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with a US official reporting increasing transits. Today, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced that oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz is returning to normal levels, signaling a de-escalation of tensions affecting global energy markets and supply chains.
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Strait of Hormuz oil flow ‘back towards normal’: Energy secretary
Background: Oil prices had declined on market optimism over the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with a US official reporting increasing transits. Today, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced that oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz is returning to normal levels, signaling a de-escalation of tensions affecting global energy markets and supply chains.
Background: Oil prices had declined on market optimism over the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with a US official reporting increasing transits. Today, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced that oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz is returning to normal levels, signaling a de-escalation of tensions affecting global energy markets and supply chains.
de36Pistorius dampens expectations for quick German military mandate for Strait of Hormuz mission
German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius has tempered expectations for a swift Bundestag mandate for a Bundeswehr mission in the Strait of Hormuz, citing unresolved international framework and volatile ceasefire negotiations between the US and Iran. The mission, potentially involving mine clearance, requires a stable truce and a UN resolution for legal legitimacy, which are not yet in place. Parliamentary leaders from CDU and SPD also express skepticism about rapid approval. Pistorius emphasizes that reopening the strait is in Germany's energy and European interest, but any German contribution would focus on safe passage, not combat.
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Pistorius dampens expectations for quick German military mandate for Strait of Hormuz mission
German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius has tempered expectations for a swift Bundestag mandate for a Bundeswehr mission in the Strait of Hormuz, citing unresolved international framework and volatile ceasefire negotiations between the US and Iran. The mission, potentially involving mine clearance, requires a stable truce and a UN resolution for legal legitimacy, which are not yet in place. Parliamentary leaders from CDU and SPD also express skepticism about rapid approval. Pistorius emphasizes that reopening the strait is in Germany's energy and European interest, but any German contribution would focus on safe passage, not combat.
German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius has tempered expectations for a swift Bundestag mandate for a Bundeswehr mission in the Strait of Hormuz, citing unresolved international framework and volatile ceasefire negotiations between the US and Iran. The mission, potentially involving mine clearance, requires a stable truce and a UN resolution for legal legitimacy, which are not yet in place. Parliamentary leaders from CDU and SPD also express skepticism about rapid approval. Pistorius emphasizes that reopening the strait is in Germany's energy and European interest, but any German contribution would focus on safe passage, not combat.
fr33French Armored Cavalry Eyes Return to Medium Tracked Vehicles by 2040
The French Army's Armored Cavalry Arm (ABC) is studying a doctrinal shift back to medium tracked armored vehicles by 2040, reversing a long-standing preference for wheeled platforms. The concept, detailed by Lieutenant-Colonel Arnaud Toussaint, envisions three tiers—Hussards 2.0 for reconnaissance with drones, Dragons 2.0 for assault using medium tracked multirole platforms, and Cuirassiers 2.0 for breakthrough operations within a system-of-systems like the MGCS—integrating drones, robotics, and AI to break tactical deadlocks on transparent battlefields dominated by drones, AI, and precision fires. This reflects lessons from Ukraine and aligns with calls from senior officers for tracked mobility in challenging European terrain.
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French Armored Cavalry Eyes Return to Medium Tracked Vehicles by 2040
The French Army's Armored Cavalry Arm (ABC) is studying a doctrinal shift back to medium tracked armored vehicles by 2040, reversing a long-standing preference for wheeled platforms. The concept, detailed by Lieutenant-Colonel Arnaud Toussaint, envisions three tiers—Hussards 2.0 for reconnaissance with drones, Dragons 2.0 for assault using medium tracked multirole platforms, and Cuirassiers 2.0 for breakthrough operations within a system-of-systems like the MGCS—integrating drones, robotics, and AI to break tactical deadlocks on transparent battlefields dominated by drones, AI, and precision fires. This reflects lessons from Ukraine and aligns with calls from senior officers for tracked mobility in challenging European terrain.
The French Army's Armored Cavalry Arm (ABC) is studying a doctrinal shift back to medium tracked armored vehicles by 2040, reversing a long-standing preference for wheeled platforms. The concept, detailed by Lieutenant-Colonel Arnaud Toussaint, envisions three tiers—Hussards 2.0 for reconnaissance with drones, Dragons 2.0 for assault using medium tracked multirole platforms, and Cuirassiers 2.0 for breakthrough operations within a system-of-systems like the MGCS—integrating drones, robotics, and AI to break tactical deadlocks on transparent battlefields dominated by drones, AI, and precision fires. This reflects lessons from Ukraine and aligns with calls from senior officers for tracked mobility in challenging European terrain.