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Global Briefing June 5

Europe Steps In as Zelensky Proposes Putin Talks, Iran Strikes Kuwait

The week's defining architecture emerged on June 5: a 7 June London summit where Macron, Starmer and Merz will meet Zelenskyy marks Europe's most assertive diplomatic step since US-led peace initiatives stalled, while a US-Iran tentative MOU for a 60-day ceasefire extension coexists with Iranian strikes on Kuwait airport that killed one. The WFP confirmed the Iran war is driving 45 million more people into acute hunger, Russia doubled its RM-48U ballistic missile output from 200 to 480 per year, and Hungary finally lifted its two-year veto on the EU's 6.6 billion euro Ukraine air defense package.

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Zelensky sends open letter to Putin proposing immediate ceasefire and direct bilateral talks

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on June 4 sent an open letter to Russian President Vladimir Putin proposing an immediate ceasefire along the existing frontline and a face-to-face bilateral meeting in a neutral third country. The Institute for the Study of War assessed that Russian officials simultaneously used the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum to project a facade of economic stability while bypassing public acknowledgment of actual fuel shortages and domestic strain. The letter followed by one day Zelensky's public statement of readiness for direct talks, as Russian forces overnight launched one Iskander-M ballistic missile and 293 drones against Ukrainian territory.

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E3 leaders to meet Zelenskyy at Downing Street on 7 June as Europe steps into Ukraine peace diplomacy

French President Emmanuel Macron, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz will hold a trilateral summit at Downing Street on Sunday 7 June starting at 18:30, with Zelenskyy joining one hour later. The Elysee Palace said the summit would focus on continuing coordination to support Ukraine and increase pressure on Russia, including progress on the Coalition of the Willing, whose next plenary France will host in Paris on 13-14 July. The meeting follows Zelenskyy's June 4 open letter to Putin proposing a ceasefire and direct talks, and comes as US-led peace efforts have stalled -- Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babis said at an EU summit in Montenegro that Europe must now take on the role of ending the war.

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WFP: 45 million more people face acute hunger as Iran war drives global food and cost crisis

The UN World Food Programme confirmed on June 5 that its pessimistic March projections are materialising: the US-Israeli war on Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, driven oil prices above $100 per barrel and is pushing an estimated 45 million more people into acute hunger on top of the 320 million already food insecure globally. WFP director Jean-Martin Bauer told AFP the agency will now serve 1.5 million fewer people in 2026 than planned and warned that if the conflict lasts six months, more than nine million could lose food assistance -- with Somalia facing a pipeline break next month that would leave no food for distribution in a country already at famine risk in one district. "What is shaping up is the return of a global cost of living crisis of the likes that we experienced in 2022," Bauer said, adding the humanitarian system is now caught in a double squeeze of rising needs and rising delivery costs, weakened by aid funding cuts since the Trump administration took office.

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Russia more than doubles production of converted SAMs for ballistic missile strikes, straining Ukrainian air defense

Russia has more than doubled production of RM-48U missiles, converted from S-300/S-400 air defense missiles into surface-to-surface ballistic weapons, according to Ukraine's General Intelligence Directorate (GUR). The GUR told Ukrainska Pravda that RM-48U output rose from 200 in 2025 to a projected 480 in 2026, with a monthly build rate of up to 50. These inaccurate, low-payload missiles are designed to saturate Ukrainian air defenses and force the use of scarce PAC-3 or Aster-30 interceptors.

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