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7 May Briefing Read full brief

An election day that pinches Labour from both flanks while Shell banks the Iran-war windfall

Polling opened at 07:00 for the 2026 Holyrood election, with a record 4,320,981 voters on the roll and a count deferred to 09:00 Friday. South of the border Reform UK is forecast to take 1,000-1,500 of around 5,000 English council seats, and a UCL Policy Lab report drawing on Stan Greenberg's research warned Keir Starmer is pushing progressive voters away. Shell reported a 19 percent rise in Q1 net profit to $5.69 billion on Iran-war prices with a $3 billion buyback; Strategic Defence Review co-author Dr Fiona Hill told MPs Trump's Falklands comments must be taken seriously.

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Scotland votes for 129 MSPs in 2026 Holyrood election with a record 4,320,981 on the roll and no overnight count

Polling stations across Scotland opened at 07:00 on May 7 for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, with a record 4,320,981 people registered to vote and almost a fifth of the electorate having applied for a postal ballot, according to the Electoral Commission. Voters are choosing 129 members of the Scottish Parliament — 73 in constituencies and 56 across eight regional lists — with polling stations closing at 22:00 and no requirement to show photo ID, unlike in England. For the second consecutive Holyrood vote there will be no overnight count: the Electoral Management Board for Scotland said counting will start at 09:00 on Friday, with first declarations expected in the afternoon and the final results from the Highlands and Islands region not due until about 19:00.

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Report says Keir Starmer's discomfort with progressive values driving away left-leaning voters

A report from UCL's Policy Lab, using research by veteran pollster Stan Greenberg, warns that Keir Starmer's lack of a clear values-based argument is pushing progressive voters away from Labour. The findings come as the party braces for poor results in Thursday's local elections, which could trigger a leadership challenge. The report says voters want a more robust challenge to Donald Trump and a stronger defence of environmentalism.

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Reform UK forecast to win up to 1,500 of around 5,000 English council seats as Farage targets the Conservatives' base

Nigel Farage's anti-immigration Reform UK, which has led every national poll for more than a year, is expected to make its largest gains yet at Thursday's English local elections, with some estimates putting the party on 1,000 to 1,500 of the roughly 5,000 council seats up for grabs. Farage's stated objective is to demonstrate that Reform has replaced the Conservatives as the natural party of the British right, with the strongest gains forecast in the north of England and the Midlands and the prospect of Reform turquoise displacing Labour red in some predominantly white, working-class areas of London.

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Shell Q1 profit surges 19% to $5.69B on Iran war energy price spike

Shell reported a 19% rise in first-quarter net profit to $5.69 billion on Thursday, driven by soaring oil and gas prices after the Iran war disrupted global energy markets. The company also announced a $3 billion share buyback and a 5% dividend increase, while slowing the pace of quarterly buybacks from $3.5 billion. Shell's shares fell 2.3% on the FTSE 100 amid easing oil prices on hopes of a ceasefire.

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Every other event tracked in United Kingdom, with a one-line preview.

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UK defence review co-author warns Falklands threats from Trump must be taken seriously

Dr Fiona Hill, co-author of the UK's Strategic Defence Review, told the Joint Committee on the National Security Strategy that US President Trump's comments about the Falkland Islands should be taken seriously and engaged with directly. She described Trump's stance as a combination of genuine belief and political posturing rooted in his alliance with Argentina's President Milei, and warned that the US sees European allies as having been 'infantilised' by reliance on American support. Hill advised initial private diplomatic engagement rather than public dismissal.

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Dr Fiona Hill, co-author of the UK's Strategic Defence Review, told the Joint Committee on the National Security Strategy that US President Trump's comments about the Falkland Islands should be taken seriously and engaged with directly. She described Trump's stance as a combination of genuine belief and political posturing rooted in his alliance with Argentina's President Milei, and warned that the US sees European allies as having been 'infantilised' by reliance on American support. Hill advised initial private diplomatic engagement rather than public dismissal.

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JD Sports warns Iran conflict could hit consumer spending and raise prices

UK-based sports fashion retailer JD Sports warned that profits will fall this year due to a muted market and concerns about the Middle East conflict. The company stated that while there has been no material business impact to date, the Iran war could push up costs and prices, including energy and fuel costs, and potentially impact consumer demand. JD reported flat sales in the latest quarter and expects no sales growth this year.

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UK-based sports fashion retailer JD Sports warned that profits will fall this year due to a muted market and concerns about the Middle East conflict. The company stated that while there has been no material business impact to date, the Iran war could push up costs and prices, including energy and fuel costs, and potentially impact consumer demand. JD reported flat sales in the latest quarter and expects no sales growth this year.

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UK police watchdog investigates Met officers over handling of Mohamed Al Fayed sexual abuse allegations

The Independent Office for Police Conduct (IOPC) is investigating one serving and four former Metropolitan Police officers for potential misconduct over their handling of sexual abuse allegations against the late Mohamed Al Fayed. The investigation covers reports from four victims and follows revelations that the Met was approached by 21 women before Al Fayed's death in 2023, yet he was never charged. This development highlights ongoing scrutiny of police handling of sexual abuse cases involving high-profile figures.

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The Independent Office for Police Conduct (IOPC) is investigating one serving and four former Metropolitan Police officers for potential misconduct over their handling of sexual abuse allegations against the late Mohamed Al Fayed. The investigation covers reports from four victims and follows revelations that the Met was approached by 21 women before Al Fayed's death in 2023, yet he was never charged. This development highlights ongoing scrutiny of police handling of sexual abuse cases involving high-profile figures.

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Amazon launches first UK drone delivery service in Darlington

Amazon has become the first retailer in the UK to launch a drone delivery service, starting with a limited rollout in Darlington, County Durham. Packages under 2.2 kg are delivered within a 7.5-mile radius of its fulfilment centre in as little as two hours, using autonomous MK30 drones with GPS and obstacle sensors. The service operates up to ten flights per hour, with a maximum of 100 deliveries per day on weekdays. The trial, approved by the Civil Aviation Authority, runs until the end of the year and is part of Amazon's broader push for ultra-fast delivery. Darlington is the only location outside the US where Amazon operates drone deliveries.

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Amazon has become the first retailer in the UK to launch a drone delivery service, starting with a limited rollout in Darlington, County Durham. Packages under 2.2 kg are delivered within a 7.5-mile radius of its fulfilment centre in as little as two hours, using autonomous MK30 drones with GPS and obstacle sensors. The service operates up to ten flights per hour, with a maximum of 100 deliveries per day on weekdays. The trial, approved by the Civil Aviation Authority, runs until the end of the year and is part of Amazon's broader push for ultra-fast delivery. Darlington is the only location outside the US where Amazon operates drone deliveries.

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Retired pastor convicted for breaching Northern Ireland abortion buffer zone law

Clive Johnston, a 78-year-old retired pastor, was found guilty of breaching Northern Ireland's abortion buffer zone law by preaching biblical verses near Causeway Hospital in July 2024. He was fined £450. The court determined he deliberately entered the safe access zone to test the legislation and influence protected persons. The case underscores ongoing legal and social tensions around abortion access in Northern Ireland.

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Clive Johnston, a 78-year-old retired pastor, was found guilty of breaching Northern Ireland's abortion buffer zone law by preaching biblical verses near Causeway Hospital in July 2024. He was fined £450. The court determined he deliberately entered the safe access zone to test the legislation and influence protected persons. The case underscores ongoing legal and social tensions around abortion access in Northern Ireland.

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Nottingham Police Launch Operation View to Combat Youth Anti-Social Behaviour

Nottinghamshire Police have initiated Operation View, a crackdown on youth anti-social behaviour in Nottingham city centre, targeting children as young as 10. The operation uses dispersal orders, a watchlist of 24 children, and Community Protection Notices (CPNs) against parents who do not control their children, with potential consequences including fines and eviction. The initiative responds to shoplifting, drug and weapon possession, and trespassing in abandoned buildings, with police reporting that some children view arrest as a 'badge of honour'. Recently, police arrested a 12-year-old boy already on bail and banned from the city centre.

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Nottinghamshire Police have initiated Operation View, a crackdown on youth anti-social behaviour in Nottingham city centre, targeting children as young as 10. The operation uses dispersal orders, a watchlist of 24 children, and Community Protection Notices (CPNs) against parents who do not control their children, with potential consequences including fines and eviction. The initiative responds to shoplifting, drug and weapon possession, and trespassing in abandoned buildings, with police reporting that some children view arrest as a 'badge of honour'. Recently, police arrested a 12-year-old boy already on bail and banned from the city centre.

Frequently Asked

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What elections took place on May 7 in the UK?
Scottish Parliament elections for all 129 MSPs and English local elections for about 5,000 council seats took place on May 7.
How much profit did Shell report for Q1?
Shell reported a 19% rise in first-quarter net profit to $5.69 billion, driven by elevated oil and gas prices since Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
What is Reform UK's goal in the English local elections?
Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, aims to replace the Conservatives as the natural party of the British right, with projected gains of 1,000 to 1,500 council seats.
What warning did UCL's Policy Lab give about Labour?
UCL's Policy Lab warned that Keir Starmer's discomfort with progressive values is pushing left-leaning voters away from Labour, citing a need for stronger challenges to Donald Trump and environmentalism.
What did Dr Fiona Hill say about the Falkland Islands?
Dr Fiona Hill told MPs that Trump's comments on the Falkland Islands should be taken seriously and engaged with privately, warning that the US views European allies as infantilised.