Archive
Today 13 July Briefing Read full brief

Merz buys a strike force from the ally now charging 20 percent at Hormuz

Germany bought a US long-range strike force on 9 July, days before Washington reimposed its Hormuz blockade with a 20 percent levy on all transiting cargo. Up to 400 Tomahawk Block Vb rounds will sit on German soil by 2029 and Helsing raised $1.8bn at an $18bn valuation. At home parliament cut €18.8bn from health and offered its cities €1bn a year against a €30bn deficit, as the AfD hit 41 percent in Saxony-Anhalt.

Key Indicators
Full catalog · 44

Upcoming

25 key official events ahead
July 2026
Statistics
Destatis: final consumer price index, June 2026

Final June 2026 inflation reading with the full CPI/HICP category breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)

Central Bank
ECB Governing Council monetary policy decision (July 2026)

Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting; rate decision at 14:15 CET and press conference at 14:45 CET.

Statistics
Destatis: preliminary consumer price index, July 2026

Flash estimate of July 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)

August 2026
Statistics
Destatis: final consumer price index, July 2026

Final July 2026 inflation reading with detailed category breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)

Statistics
Destatis: preliminary consumer price index, August 2026

Flash estimate of August 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)

September 2026
Election
Saxony-Anhalt state election (Landtag)

Election to the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt; a closely watched eastern-state contest given strong AfD polling, with national coalition-stability implications.

Central Bank
ECB Governing Council monetary policy decision (September 2026)

Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET. Accompanied by the updated ECB staff macroeconomic projections.

Statistics
Destatis: final consumer price index, August 2026

Final August 2026 inflation reading with full category breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)

Election
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election (Landtag)

Election to the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; an eastern-state vote held the same day as the Berlin election, with AfD and SPD strength in focus.

Election
Berlin state election (Abgeordnetenhaus)

Election of the 20th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin and the district assemblies; a major city-state contest shaping governance of the capital.

Parliament
Bundestag first reading of the 2027 federal budget

Opening Bundestag debate on the draft Bundeshaushalt 2027, traditionally held in a September sitting week after the summer recess and including the headline general-policy debate on the Chancellery budget. (provisional date — 2027 budget timetable not yet officially fixed)

Statistics
Destatis: preliminary consumer price index, September 2026

Flash estimate of September 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)

October 2026
Statistics
Destatis: final consumer price index, September 2026

Final September 2026 inflation reading with detailed breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)

Central Bank
ECB Governing Council monetary policy decision (October 2026)

Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.

Statistics
Destatis: preliminary consumer price index, October 2026

Flash estimate of October 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)

November 2026
Statistics
Destatis: final consumer price index, October 2026

Final October 2026 inflation reading with full category breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)

Statistics
Destatis: preliminary consumer price index, November 2026

Flash estimate of November 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)

Parliament
Bundestag final reading and adoption of the 2027 federal budget

Concluding budget week with the second and third readings and final vote on the Haushaltsgesetz 2027, customarily late November. (provisional date — 2027 budget timetable not yet officially fixed)

December 2026
Statistics
Destatis: final consumer price index, November 2026

Final November 2026 inflation reading with detailed breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)

Central Bank
ECB Governing Council monetary policy decision (December 2026)

Final scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting of 2026; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET, with updated ECB staff projections.

January 2027
Statistics
Destatis: preliminary consumer price index, December 2026 (full-year 2026)

Flash estimate of December 2026 inflation and the first read on the full-year 2026 average inflation rate. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)

February 2027
Central Bank
ECB Governing Council monetary policy decision (February 2027)

First scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting of 2027; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.

March 2027
Central Bank
ECB Governing Council monetary policy decision (March 2027)

Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting with updated ECB staff macroeconomic projections; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.

April 2027
Central Bank
ECB Governing Council monetary policy decision (April 2027)

Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.

June 2027
Central Bank
ECB Governing Council monetary policy decision (June 2027)

Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting with updated ECB staff projections; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.

Germany

Recent events

24
Filter
de43

Germany, France and seven other nations launch missile defense coalition with Ukraine

Germany, France, Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom have formed a new coalition with Ukraine to develop missile defense capabilities, including Ukraine's Freyja system. The initiative aims to build a joint European defensive capacity against ballistic missiles through industrial cooperation, research, and operational experience sharing. The announcement was made by French President Emmanuel Macron during a meeting of the 'coalition of the willing' in Paris, where Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also promoted investments in the missile defense program.

Show summary

Germany, France, Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom have formed a new coalition with Ukraine to develop missile defense capabilities, including Ukraine's Freyja system. The initiative aims to build a joint European defensive capacity against ballistic missiles through industrial cooperation, research, and operational experience sharing. The announcement was made by French President Emmanuel Macron during a meeting of the 'coalition of the willing' in Paris, where Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also promoted investments in the missile defense program.

de43

Merz Calls for Dialogue with China on Currency Float

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has previously signaled openness to EU trade measures against China over unfair practices and industrial overcapacity. On July 13, 2026, during a speech at the Adenauer School of Government in Cologne, he escalated his stance by explicitly calling for a dialogue with China to persuade Beijing to allow its currency to float freely, arguing that the EU cannot compete against a competitor that artificially manipulates its currency. This marks a shift from general trade criticism to a specific monetary policy demand.

Show summary

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has previously signaled openness to EU trade measures against China over unfair practices and industrial overcapacity. On July 13, 2026, during a speech at the Adenauer School of Government in Cologne, he escalated his stance by explicitly calling for a dialogue with China to persuade Beijing to allow its currency to float freely, arguing that the EU cannot compete against a competitor that artificially manipulates its currency. This marks a shift from general trade criticism to a specific monetary policy demand.

de40

European defense AI startup Helsing raises $1.8 billion, valuation reaches $18 billion

Helsing, a Munich-based defense AI company, announced a $1.8 billion funding round, one of the largest ever for a European startup, valuing the company at $18 billion. Investors include Lightspeed Venture Partners, General Catalyst, Goldman Sachs, and J.P. Morgan, though the company remains majority European-controlled. The fundraising underscores surging investor interest in defense technology since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and will accelerate development of AI platforms for partner nations. Helsing works with Rheinmetall, Kongsberg, and Saab, and offers products like the HX-2 strike drone and Altra AI software.

Show summary

Helsing, a Munich-based defense AI company, announced a $1.8 billion funding round, one of the largest ever for a European startup, valuing the company at $18 billion. Investors include Lightspeed Venture Partners, General Catalyst, Goldman Sachs, and J.P. Morgan, though the company remains majority European-controlled. The fundraising underscores surging investor interest in defense technology since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and will accelerate development of AI platforms for partner nations. Helsing works with Rheinmetall, Kongsberg, and Saab, and offers products like the HX-2 strike drone and Altra AI software.

de38

German court convicts Iraqi couple of enslaving Yazidi girls for Islamic State

A German court convicted Iraqi nationals Twana H.S. and Asia R.A. of enslaving two Yazidi girls in Iraq, membership in the Islamic State group, and crimes including genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity, and forced religious conversion. The Munich Higher Regional Court sentenced Twana H.S. to life imprisonment and Asia R.A. to nine and a half years in juvenile detention for genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity. The couple, members of the Islamic State (IS), purchased and enslaved two Yazidi girls (aged 5 and 12) in Iraq, subjecting them to sexual abuse and forced labor. The case was tried under universal jurisdiction, marking Germany's first conviction for forced religious conversion, and the verdict underscores Germany's application of universal jurisdiction for international crimes committed by IS against the Yazidi minority.

Show summary

A German court convicted Iraqi nationals Twana H.S. and Asia R.A. of enslaving two Yazidi girls in Iraq, membership in the Islamic State group, and crimes including genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity, and forced religious conversion. The Munich Higher Regional Court sentenced Twana H.S. to life imprisonment and Asia R.A. to nine and a half years in juvenile detention for genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity. The couple, members of the Islamic State (IS), purchased and enslaved two Yazidi girls (aged 5 and 12) in Iraq, subjecting them to sexual abuse and forced labor. The case was tried under universal jurisdiction, marking Germany's first conviction for forced religious conversion, and the verdict underscores Germany's application of universal jurisdiction for international crimes committed by IS against the Yazidi minority.

de35

Thuringia interior minister backs partial ban of AfD state branch; CDU and Saxony warn against it

Thuringia's SPD Interior Minister Georg Maier supports a proposal from Bavaria's CSU to seek a partial ban of the Thuringia state branch of the far-right AfD, led by Björn Höcke, citing high chances of success. However, Thuringia's CDU faction leader Andreas Bühl opposes the idea, arguing it would strengthen the AfD's victim narrative. Saxony's CDU Interior Minister Armin Schuster warns that such a move would be legally risky and politically damaging, as it could appear partisan. The debate highlights deep divisions within German conservative parties over how to counter the AfD.

Show summary

Thuringia's SPD Interior Minister Georg Maier supports a proposal from Bavaria's CSU to seek a partial ban of the Thuringia state branch of the far-right AfD, led by Björn Höcke, citing high chances of success. However, Thuringia's CDU faction leader Andreas Bühl opposes the idea, arguing it would strengthen the AfD's victim narrative. Saxony's CDU Interior Minister Armin Schuster warns that such a move would be legally risky and politically damaging, as it could appear partisan. The debate highlights deep divisions within German conservative parties over how to counter the AfD.

de30

Germany's fish stick lobbying undermines its credibility on Russia sanctions

Germany's push to maintain the EU oil price cap on Russia is contradicted by its own successful effort to block a ban on Russian fish imports, fearing a shortage of pollock for fish sticks. This defense of narrow national interests weakens Berlin's moral authority to criticize other member states, such as Greece, for protecting their shipping industries' profits from Russian oil transport.

Show summary

Germany's push to maintain the EU oil price cap on Russia is contradicted by its own successful effort to block a ban on Russian fish imports, fearing a shortage of pollock for fish sticks. This defense of narrow national interests weakens Berlin's moral authority to criticize other member states, such as Greece, for protecting their shipping industries' profits from Russian oil transport.

de28

German Family Minister Prien faces backlash over plan to cut child maintenance advance for single parents

German Family Minister Karin Prien (CDU) proposes limiting the state child maintenance advance to children up to age 16, sparking criticism from SPD politician Manuela Schwesig, Left Party leader Heidi Reichinnek, and the German Women's Council. Schwesig, a former family minister who expanded the benefit to age 18, rejects the cut and calls for stricter enforcement against defaulting parents. Reichinnek calls the plan a 'low blow' for single parents, and the Women's Council warns it will drive many women into poverty. The proposal is part of broader budget savings, as costs have quadrupled since 2017.

Show summary

German Family Minister Karin Prien (CDU) proposes limiting the state child maintenance advance to children up to age 16, sparking criticism from SPD politician Manuela Schwesig, Left Party leader Heidi Reichinnek, and the German Women's Council. Schwesig, a former family minister who expanded the benefit to age 18, rejects the cut and calls for stricter enforcement against defaulting parents. Reichinnek calls the plan a 'low blow' for single parents, and the Women's Council warns it will drive many women into poverty. The proposal is part of broader budget savings, as costs have quadrupled since 2017.

de28

Second US humanitarian worker with Ebola transferred to Germany for treatment

A second US citizen, a humanitarian worker for Samaritan's Purse, was diagnosed with Bundibugyo virus (a type of Ebola) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and transferred to Frankfurt University Hospital in Germany for treatment. The patient is reported stable. The US State Department facilitated the transfer, while a Title 42 public health order restricts entry from affected countries. The case highlights ongoing debate about treating US citizens abroad versus repatriation.

Show summary

A second US citizen, a humanitarian worker for Samaritan's Purse, was diagnosed with Bundibugyo virus (a type of Ebola) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and transferred to Frankfurt University Hospital in Germany for treatment. The patient is reported stable. The US State Department facilitated the transfer, while a Title 42 public health order restricts entry from affected countries. The case highlights ongoing debate about treating US citizens abroad versus repatriation.

Frequently Asked

5
What missile deal did Germany agree to in July 2026?
Germany agreed to buy ground-launched Tomahawk Block Vb rounds and Typhon launchers, worth over $1 billion, to be deployed on German soil by 2029.
What toll did the US impose on Hormuz shipping?
On 12 July 2026, Donald Trump reimposed a naval blockade of Iran and demanded a 20% reimbursement on all cargo shipped through the Strait of Hormuz.
How is Germany's economy affected by the Hormuz toll?
Germany's 2026 growth forecast was cut to 0.6%, inflation raised to 2.8%, and petrol rose above €2 per litre, with no offsetting petrodollar orders expected.
What is the political risk for Merz's government?
The AfD leads at 28% nationally and 41% in Saxony-Anhalt, while Merz's CDU/CSU polls at 22%, amid municipal deficits and health spending cuts.
When will the Tomahawks be deployed?
The deployment target is 2029, with US export approval expected in August 2026.