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us · United States

Trump Opens Iran War and Midterm Campaigns

Trump entered the ninth night of renewed strikes on Iran with US service members dead, gasoline back at $4 and a $1.15tn defence bill blocked in the Senate. He then used a primetime address to claim China obtained 220m voter files, though his own declassified documents showed no altered votes. TSMC promised another $100bn for US fabs as the White House searched for an economic counter-story.

Weekly brief
gb · United Kingdom

Andy Burnham Promises Circuit Breaker for UK State

Andy Burnham entered Downing Street promising a ten-year “circuit breaker” after Britain’s seventh change of prime minister since 2016. He scrapped a £1.8bn digital-ID plan and ordered cost-of-living relief, but debt exceeds 95% of GDP and the IMF says fiscal room is tight. An official finding that MI5 misled three courts made his promise to restore public trust more than campaign rhetoric.

Weekly brief
fr · France

Macron Ties France to Germany in Nuclear Deterrence Pact

Macron used his final Bastille week to place German forces inside a French nuclear exercise and offer Berlin co-production of SAMP/T NG, even as the common tank project lost its tank. Mélenchon threatened to break the arrangement and Elon Musk called Marine Le Pen France’s “last hope.” At home, Parliament passed assisted dying 291–241 while a pesticide amendment put a 78-article farm bill at risk.

Weekly brief
de · Germany

Merz Builds Stronger Security State Before AfD Rise

Germany raised its threat level from “abstract” to “high” as Russian influence operations favoured the AfD and an Iranian newspaper named Friedrich Merz on a revenge list. Berlin is preparing active powers for its intelligence agencies while joining a French nuclear exercise and licensing €2.5bn of arms for Ukraine. With the AfD above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt, the powers built for today’s threats could belong to tomorrow’s government.

Weekly brief
ua · Ukraine

Zelensky Dismisses Fedorov Amid Ukraine War Ministry Crisis

Zelensky removed Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov after his feud with Oleksandr Syrskyi became unworkable, drawing protests in at least 16 cities and an ultimatum for 24 July. The rupture came as 145 Russian troops infiltrated Kostiantynivka, a Ukrainian drone destroyed a Tu-95 at Engels-2, and Russian missiles killed 10 people aboard the grain carrier Golden Leo.

Weekly brief
tr · Turkey

Turkey's Montreux Convention Outlasts Erdoğan's Emergency Politics

Turkey marked 90 years of the Montreux Convention by destroying an explosive drone that washed ashore in Istanbul, proof that control of the straits cannot contain every Black Sea risk. The anniversary followed a decade since the failed coup, as Özgür Özel prepared a breakaway party and another CHP mayor was detained. Abroad, Ankara pursued influence in Ukraine and Syria without choosing a camp.

Weekly brief
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Every other event tracked today, with a one-line preview. Click Show summary to read more.

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us48

Pentagon reveals nearly 100 US troops injured by Iranian strikes since July 7; three more soldiers killed in Jordan and Iraq

The US-Iran conflict continues to escalate. The Pentagon disclosed that nearly 100 US service members have been injured since July 7, with Iran retaliating against US strikes by targeting bases in Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan, and Kuwait. The disclosure came after the Pentagon denied a New York Times report of withheld injuries; Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell stated that a vast majority of the injured only experienced minor concussions and 96 percent had since returned to work. Three US Army soldiers were killed in ballistic missile attacks on Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan: Private Isabella Gonzales, 19, of Carrollton, Texas; Lieutenant Tyler James Feehan, 25, of Ewa Beach, Hawaii; and a third soldier provisionally listed as missing. In Iraq, Sergeant Michael Emmanuel Swinton, 30, of Fayetteville, North Carolina, was killed and another soldier was wounded during a controlled detonation of an Iranian attack drone at Erbil Air Base. Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson said the country's leadership is counting down the minutes to welcome US forces in any ground invasion. US President Donald Trump said the latest round of very hard attacks came in honor of three American service members who had been killed. Iranian state news media reported strikes targeting several locations in the southern port city of Bushehr, home to the country's civilian nuclear plant. Tehran called on the International Atomic Energy Agency to condemn a US attack on its Darkhovin nuclear plant.

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The US-Iran conflict continues to escalate. The Pentagon disclosed that nearly 100 US service members have been injured since July 7, with Iran retaliating against US strikes by targeting bases in Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan, and Kuwait. The disclosure came after the Pentagon denied a New York Times report of withheld injuries; Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell stated that a vast majority of the injured only experienced minor concussions and 96 percent had since returned to work. Three US Army soldiers were killed in ballistic missile attacks on Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan: Private Isabella Gonzales, 19, of Carrollton, Texas; Lieutenant Tyler James Feehan, 25, of Ewa Beach, Hawaii; and a third soldier provisionally listed as missing. In Iraq, Sergeant Michael Emmanuel Swinton, 30, of Fayetteville, North Carolina, was killed and another soldier was wounded during a controlled detonation of an Iranian attack drone at Erbil Air Base. Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson said the country's leadership is counting down the minutes to welcome US forces in any ground invasion. US President Donald Trump said the latest round of very hard attacks came in honor of three American service members who had been killed. Iranian state news media reported strikes targeting several locations in the southern port city of Bushehr, home to the country's civilian nuclear plant. Tehran called on the International Atomic Energy Agency to condemn a US attack on its Darkhovin nuclear plant.

us48

US strikes Iran for 11th consecutive night as Pakistan pushes diplomacy and costs mount

Background: The US and Iran have been engaged in a conflict since February 28, with a fragile ceasefire in place since April 8 that later collapsed. Negotiations for a permanent deal have stalled. The US entered its 11th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, targeting military operations centers, maritime capabilities, aircraft hangars, drone storage facilities, and logistics infrastructure. Iran expanded attacks against Gulf states, striking targets in Bahrain, Jordan, and Kuwait. Pakistan intensified diplomatic efforts to salvage the interim deal, with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif holding talks with Iran's Interior Minister Eskander Momeni and army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir. President Trump stated the US has no interest in talks with Iran for now and suggested US forces could soon strike near Iran's uranium enrichment sites. The war has cost the US $37.5 billion, an increase from the previous estimate of $29 billion. Brent crude rose to $92 per barrel.

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Background: The US and Iran have been engaged in a conflict since February 28, with a fragile ceasefire in place since April 8 that later collapsed. Negotiations for a permanent deal have stalled. The US entered its 11th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, targeting military operations centers, maritime capabilities, aircraft hangars, drone storage facilities, and logistics infrastructure. Iran expanded attacks against Gulf states, striking targets in Bahrain, Jordan, and Kuwait. Pakistan intensified diplomatic efforts to salvage the interim deal, with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif holding talks with Iran's Interior Minister Eskander Momeni and army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir. President Trump stated the US has no interest in talks with Iran for now and suggested US forces could soon strike near Iran's uranium enrichment sites. The war has cost the US $37.5 billion, an increase from the previous estimate of $29 billion. Brent crude rose to $92 per barrel.

de48

German Chancellor Merz reshuffles cabinet after Spahn resignation

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced a major cabinet reshuffle on July 24, 2026, triggered by the resignation of CDU/CSU parliamentary group leader Jens Spahn over a surrogacy scandal. Health Minister Nina Warken was appointed as the first woman to head the Chancellery, replacing Thorsten Frei, who will succeed Spahn as parliamentary group leader. CDU General Secretary Carsten Linnemann will take over the Health Ministry, and Philipp Amthor will become state minister for federal-state relations. Merz indicated further changes are pending, including the possible replacement of Transport Minister Patrick Schnieder, amid ongoing crises at Deutsche Bahn and low government approval ratings.

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German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced a major cabinet reshuffle on July 24, 2026, triggered by the resignation of CDU/CSU parliamentary group leader Jens Spahn over a surrogacy scandal. Health Minister Nina Warken was appointed as the first woman to head the Chancellery, replacing Thorsten Frei, who will succeed Spahn as parliamentary group leader. CDU General Secretary Carsten Linnemann will take over the Health Ministry, and Philipp Amthor will become state minister for federal-state relations. Merz indicated further changes are pending, including the possible replacement of Transport Minister Patrick Schnieder, amid ongoing crises at Deutsche Bahn and low government approval ratings.

us47

US-Iran ceasefire collapses, both sides prepare for prolonged confrontation

Background: The United States and Iran finalized a 14-point memorandum of understanding to end the war, including a ceasefire, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and suspension of oil sanctions. The framework was brokered by Pakistan with Türkiye, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt. Major issues such as Iran's nuclear program were excluded from the agreement. Today: The ceasefire has collapsed after the ceasefire period ended, and both sides are now preparing for a prolonged confrontation. Key factors include President Trump's inconsistent statements and decisions, Israeli influence pushing for continued conflict, Iranian state and societal resilience, and regional/global dynamics where countries like Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar oppose renewed escalation. The cost of the war continues to rise for the US, and the stances of Russia and China may shift.

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Background: The United States and Iran finalized a 14-point memorandum of understanding to end the war, including a ceasefire, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and suspension of oil sanctions. The framework was brokered by Pakistan with Türkiye, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt. Major issues such as Iran's nuclear program were excluded from the agreement. Today: The ceasefire has collapsed after the ceasefire period ended, and both sides are now preparing for a prolonged confrontation. Key factors include President Trump's inconsistent statements and decisions, Israeli influence pushing for continued conflict, Iranian state and societal resilience, and regional/global dynamics where countries like Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar oppose renewed escalation. The cost of the war continues to rise for the US, and the stances of Russia and China may shift.

us46

Trump grows frustrated as Iran war enters fifth month with no end in sight

Background: President Trump's resumption of military strikes against Iran after the ceasefire collapse has put Republican lawmakers in a difficult position, forcing them to choose between supporting the president or backing a conflict that could hurt their electoral prospects. Today: The war with Iran has entered its fifth month with no end in sight, and President Trump has grown increasingly frustrated and skeptical about prospects for a lasting peace, according to administration officials and people close to the president. A Wall Street Journal report published Thursday indicates that some advisers fear the prolonged conflict is harming Trump's presidency by fueling higher prices, eroding his approval ratings, and hurting Republican prospects in the upcoming midterm elections. Analysis from German media suggests that both sides misread each other: Iran believed Trump was desperate for a deal, while the US underestimated the Islamic Revolutionary Guards' will to fight. Trump, fearing appearing weak, has reverted to escalation, including threats against Iran's nuclear program. The analysis notes the lack of a clear US strategy and eroding support among Trump's base, with a Politico poll showing that support for the war among MAGA supporters has dropped from 50% to just over one-third in two months. Vice President J.D. Vance has positioned himself as a war critic ahead of the midterms, and even Fox News has begun to show cracks in support for the president's handling of the conflict.

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Background: President Trump's resumption of military strikes against Iran after the ceasefire collapse has put Republican lawmakers in a difficult position, forcing them to choose between supporting the president or backing a conflict that could hurt their electoral prospects. Today: The war with Iran has entered its fifth month with no end in sight, and President Trump has grown increasingly frustrated and skeptical about prospects for a lasting peace, according to administration officials and people close to the president. A Wall Street Journal report published Thursday indicates that some advisers fear the prolonged conflict is harming Trump's presidency by fueling higher prices, eroding his approval ratings, and hurting Republican prospects in the upcoming midterm elections. Analysis from German media suggests that both sides misread each other: Iran believed Trump was desperate for a deal, while the US underestimated the Islamic Revolutionary Guards' will to fight. Trump, fearing appearing weak, has reverted to escalation, including threats against Iran's nuclear program. The analysis notes the lack of a clear US strategy and eroding support among Trump's base, with a Politico poll showing that support for the war among MAGA supporters has dropped from 50% to just over one-third in two months. Vice President J.D. Vance has positioned himself as a war critic ahead of the midterms, and even Fox News has begun to show cracks in support for the president's handling of the conflict.

ua46

Ukraine warns Russia planning false-flag drone attacks on NATO countries

Background: Poland's security committee convened to address the threat of Russia using captured Ukrainian drones for false-flag provocations against NATO's eastern flank. New development: Ukraine's Center for Countering Disinformation warned that Russia is specifically planning to use drones disguised as Ukrainian ones to attack Baltic states and Poland, with the GRU and SVR involved in planning, aiming to undermine trust in Ukraine. Andrii Kovalenko, head of the Center, stated that Russia is preparing false-flag provocations against NATO countries, using drones disguised as Ukrainian ones to attack Baltic states and Poland, with planning attributed to the GRU and possible SVR involvement. Polish Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of National Defence Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz confirmed that Russia could be preparing provocations using captured Ukrainian drones.

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Background: Poland's security committee convened to address the threat of Russia using captured Ukrainian drones for false-flag provocations against NATO's eastern flank. New development: Ukraine's Center for Countering Disinformation warned that Russia is specifically planning to use drones disguised as Ukrainian ones to attack Baltic states and Poland, with the GRU and SVR involved in planning, aiming to undermine trust in Ukraine. Andrii Kovalenko, head of the Center, stated that Russia is preparing false-flag provocations against NATO countries, using drones disguised as Ukrainian ones to attack Baltic states and Poland, with planning attributed to the GRU and possible SVR involvement. Polish Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of National Defence Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz confirmed that Russia could be preparing provocations using captured Ukrainian drones.

us46

US strikes hit military area near Tabriz; explosions reported in Bushehr, Chabahar, and Konarak

The United States conducted airstrikes on a military area near Tabriz, Iran, with no damage reported inside the city. Additional explosions occurred in Bushehr, Chabahar, and Konarak, as US attacks continue amid heightened tensions in the Middle East. Iran's East Azerbaijan crisis management confirmed the strike, and Bushehr's governor stated the source of the explosion is under investigation.

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The United States conducted airstrikes on a military area near Tabriz, Iran, with no damage reported inside the city. Additional explosions occurred in Bushehr, Chabahar, and Konarak, as US attacks continue amid heightened tensions in the Middle East. Iran's East Azerbaijan crisis management confirmed the strike, and Bushehr's governor stated the source of the explosion is under investigation.

us45

Iran threatens to bomb own territory and attack Kuwait if US invades

Background: The US and Iran have been engaged in a conflict since February 28, with a fragile ceasefire in place since April 8 that has now collapsed. Today, Iranian officials threatened to bomb their own territory rather than allow US occupation, and to launch ground attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain if the US invades. Iranian MP Ahmad Bakhshayesh Ardestani suggested Tehran could launch ground attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain, while former Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki called for capturing US soldiers. Speculation has grown around a possible Iranian move against Kuwait's Bubiyan Island, with reports of IRGC special forces movements toward the Kuwaiti border. The Pentagon is reportedly preparing options for limited ground operations in Iran involving thousands of troops. US strikes have entered their 10th consecutive day. President Trump warned that every time Iran kills an American soldier, they will pay many times over.

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Background: The US and Iran have been engaged in a conflict since February 28, with a fragile ceasefire in place since April 8 that has now collapsed. Today, Iranian officials threatened to bomb their own territory rather than allow US occupation, and to launch ground attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain if the US invades. Iranian MP Ahmad Bakhshayesh Ardestani suggested Tehran could launch ground attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain, while former Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki called for capturing US soldiers. Speculation has grown around a possible Iranian move against Kuwait's Bubiyan Island, with reports of IRGC special forces movements toward the Kuwaiti border. The Pentagon is reportedly preparing options for limited ground operations in Iran involving thousands of troops. US strikes have entered their 10th consecutive day. President Trump warned that every time Iran kills an American soldier, they will pay many times over.

fr45

French mayor placed under police protection after DZ Mafia death threats

Christophe Rivenq, mayor of Alès, was evacuated from his home by the elite RAID police unit and placed under protection after credible intelligence indicated an imminent attack by the DZ Mafia drug gang. A suspicious vehicle possibly containing explosives was found near his residence. The mayor had previously received death threats, including 9mm bullets in his mailbox and threatening graffiti. The National Anti-Organized Crime Prosecutor's Office has taken over the investigation. The incident highlights the expansion of drug-related violence from Marseille to smaller towns and the growing threat to elected officials in France.

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Christophe Rivenq, mayor of Alès, was evacuated from his home by the elite RAID police unit and placed under protection after credible intelligence indicated an imminent attack by the DZ Mafia drug gang. A suspicious vehicle possibly containing explosives was found near his residence. The mayor had previously received death threats, including 9mm bullets in his mailbox and threatening graffiti. The National Anti-Organized Crime Prosecutor's Office has taken over the investigation. The incident highlights the expansion of drug-related violence from Marseille to smaller towns and the growing threat to elected officials in France.

ua45

Ukraine and Russia escalate attacks on civilian shipping in the Black Sea

Since July 19, 2026, Ukraine and Russia have dramatically escalated attacks on civilian cargo ships in the Black Sea, breaking a tacit agreement not to target neutral vessels. Ukraine struck three oil tankers at Russia's KTK terminal near Novorossiysk, including the sanctioned shadow tanker Nelsa, while Russia hit the bulk carrier Golden Leo in Odesa with anti-ship missiles, killing 10 crew members. The escalation marks a significant shift in the naval conflict, with Ukraine's drone campaign expanding to Russia's Krasnodar shoreline and Russia intensifying strikes on Odesa port infrastructure.

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Since July 19, 2026, Ukraine and Russia have dramatically escalated attacks on civilian cargo ships in the Black Sea, breaking a tacit agreement not to target neutral vessels. Ukraine struck three oil tankers at Russia's KTK terminal near Novorossiysk, including the sanctioned shadow tanker Nelsa, while Russia hit the bulk carrier Golden Leo in Odesa with anti-ship missiles, killing 10 crew members. The escalation marks a significant shift in the naval conflict, with Ukraine's drone campaign expanding to Russia's Krasnodar shoreline and Russia intensifying strikes on Odesa port infrastructure.