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Key Indicators
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28 key official events ahead
July 2026
Summit
NATO Summit, Ankara (Turkey)

36th NATO summit, 7-8 July in Ankara. UK leaders join allied heads of state and government; defence spending, Ukraine support and burden-sharing dominate the agenda.

Statistics
ONS GDP monthly estimate (May 2026 data)

Monthly GDP estimate for May 2026, published at 7am.

Statistics
ONS UK labour market overview (June 2026 data)

Monthly labour market overview; mid-July slot follows the standard ONS cadence (provisional, exact date pending the official release calendar).

Statistics
ONS CPI inflation (June 2026 data)

Consumer Prices Index for June 2026, published at 7am. Final inflation read before the August MPC and Monetary Policy Report.

Parliament
House of Commons rises for summer recess

Parliament adjourns for the summer recess at the end of business on 23 July; the Commons does not sit again until 1 September.

Central Bank
Bank of England MPC interest rate decision + Monetary Policy Report (July 2026)

MPC Bank Rate decision and minutes at noon, published alongside the quarterly Monetary Policy Report with updated growth and inflation forecasts.

August 2026
Statistics
ONS CPI inflation (July 2026 data)

Consumer Prices Index for July 2026, published at 7am.

September 2026
Parliament
House of Commons returns from summer recess

Commons resumes sitting on 1 September after the summer recess, ahead of a short September run before the party-conference adjournment.

Statistics
ONS CPI inflation (August 2026 data)

Consumer Prices Index for August 2026, published at 7am the day before the September MPC decision.

Central Bank
Bank of England MPC interest rate decision (September 2026)

MPC Bank Rate announcement and minutes at noon. No Monetary Policy Report this round.

Parliament
House of Commons rises for conference recess

Parliament adjourns for the party-conference recess at the end of business on 17 September, returning on 12 October.

October 2026
Parliament
House of Commons returns from conference recess

Commons resumes sitting on 12 October after the conference recess, opening the autumn session that typically culminates in the Budget.

Statistics
ONS CPI inflation (September 2026 data)

Consumer Prices Index for September 2026, published at 7am. September CPI is the reference figure used for benefits and many index-linked uprating decisions.

November 2026
Central Bank
Bank of England MPC interest rate decision + Monetary Policy Report (November 2026)

MPC Bank Rate decision and minutes at noon, with the quarterly Monetary Policy Report and refreshed forecasts.

Statistics
ONS CPI inflation (October 2026 data)

Consumer Prices Index for October 2026, published at 7am, typically the last inflation print before the Autumn Budget.

Parliament
Autumn Budget 2026

Chancellor Rachel Reeves' Autumn Budget, with the OBR publishing updated economic and fiscal forecasts. Date is provisional - based on the late-November pattern (the 2025 Budget fell on 26 November); not yet officially confirmed.

December 2026
Summit
G20 Leaders' Summit, Miami (USA)

G20 leaders' summit, 14-15 December at Doral, Florida. UK Prime Minister attends; global economy, debt and geopolitical tensions on the agenda.

Statistics
ONS CPI inflation (November 2026 data)

Consumer Prices Index for November 2026, published at 7am the day before the December MPC decision.

Parliament
House of Commons rises for Christmas recess

Parliament adjourns for the Christmas recess at the end of business on 17 December, returning on 5 January 2027.

Central Bank
Bank of England MPC interest rate decision (December 2026)

Final MPC Bank Rate announcement of 2026, minutes at noon. No Monetary Policy Report this round.

January 2027
Parliament
House of Commons returns from Christmas recess

Commons resumes sitting on 5 January 2027 after the Christmas recess.

Statistics
ONS CPI inflation (December 2026 data)

Consumer Prices Index for December 2026, published at 7am - the full-year inflation read for 2026.

February 2027
Central Bank
Bank of England MPC interest rate decision + Monetary Policy Report (February 2027)

First MPC decision of 2027; Bank Rate announcement and minutes at noon with the quarterly Monetary Policy Report.

Parliament
House of Commons rises for February recess

Parliament adjourns for the February half-term recess at the end of business on 11 February 2027, returning on 22 February.

Statistics
ONS CPI inflation (January 2027 data)

Consumer Prices Index for January 2027, published at 7am. Date is provisional - follows the standard mid-month cadence; not yet on the official ONS release calendar.

Parliament
House of Commons returns from February recess

Commons resumes sitting on 22 February 2027 after the February recess.

March 2027
Central Bank
Bank of England MPC interest rate decision (March 2027)

MPC Bank Rate announcement and minutes at noon. No Monetary Policy Report this round.

May 2027
Election
UK local elections 2027

Local elections on Thursday 6 May 2027 across roughly 195 English councils plus all Scottish and Welsh councils - the next nationwide electoral test after the May 2026 polls.

United Kingdom

Recent events

24
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gb44

UK grid operator issues second power supply warning amid heatwave

The National Energy System Operator (Neso) issued a second market warning in a week, calling for extra electricity supplies on Friday evening due to tight margins caused by high temperatures and low wind speeds. Neso paid £200/MWh for imports from the continent, nearly three times the average June 2024 price. Several UK gas plants reduced output, and French nuclear plants reported unplanned outages due to river water temperatures. The heatwave is expected to move eastward, with Hungary asking households to limit air conditioning.

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The National Energy System Operator (Neso) issued a second market warning in a week, calling for extra electricity supplies on Friday evening due to tight margins caused by high temperatures and low wind speeds. Neso paid £200/MWh for imports from the continent, nearly three times the average June 2024 price. Several UK gas plants reduced output, and French nuclear plants reported unplanned outages due to river water temperatures. The heatwave is expected to move eastward, with Hungary asking households to limit air conditioning.

gb41

UK PM Starmer Commits at Least £1 Billion More for Defence

Background: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer previously pledged to accelerate defence investment and reform, including closer NATO-European cooperation and a multinational mission in the Strait of Hormuz. Building on these pledges, Starmer has now committed at least £1 billion in additional funding for defence, marking a significant increase in UK military spending.

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Background: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer previously pledged to accelerate defence investment and reform, including closer NATO-European cooperation and a multinational mission in the Strait of Hormuz. Building on these pledges, Starmer has now committed at least £1 billion in additional funding for defence, marking a significant increase in UK military spending.

gb39

NAO report finds Annington housing deal cost UK taxpayer £14.5 billion

The UK National Audit Office has published a report estimating that the Ministry of Defence is £14.5 billion worse off due to the 1996 sale of service family accommodation to Annington Property Ltd. The 2024 repurchase stopped further losses, but the NAO warns the MoD lacks the expertise to deliver its new Defence Housing Strategy and recommends building capability quickly.

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The UK National Audit Office has published a report estimating that the Ministry of Defence is £14.5 billion worse off due to the 1996 sale of service family accommodation to Annington Property Ltd. The 2024 repurchase stopped further losses, but the NAO warns the MoD lacks the expertise to deliver its new Defence Housing Strategy and recommends building capability quickly.

gb35

UK Home Secretary restricts minister's access over unauthorized immigration article

UK Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood restricted Immigration Minister Mike Tapp's access to government documents after he published an unauthorized newspaper column opposing her proposed visa rule changes for foreign care workers. Mahmood requested Prime Minister Keir Starmer sack Tapp, but the PM has not yet acted. The dispute highlights internal government tensions over immigration policy reforms that would extend the waiting period for permanent residence.

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UK Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood restricted Immigration Minister Mike Tapp's access to government documents after he published an unauthorized newspaper column opposing her proposed visa rule changes for foreign care workers. Mahmood requested Prime Minister Keir Starmer sack Tapp, but the PM has not yet acted. The dispute highlights internal government tensions over immigration policy reforms that would extend the waiting period for permanent residence.

gb33

UK Labour government faces North Sea oil and gas decisions amid Trump pressure

The incoming UK Labour government under Andy Burnham is expected to approve the Jackdaw gas field and faces a decision on the Rosebank oil field in the North Sea. Climate campaigners are shifting focus to opposing only Rosebank, while US President Donald Trump pressures Burnham to expand drilling. The decisions carry political implications for Labour's climate credibility and relations with the US.

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The incoming UK Labour government under Andy Burnham is expected to approve the Jackdaw gas field and faces a decision on the Rosebank oil field in the North Sea. Climate campaigners are shifting focus to opposing only Rosebank, while US President Donald Trump pressures Burnham to expand drilling. The decisions carry political implications for Labour's climate credibility and relations with the US.

gb30

UK High Court rejects Andrew and Tristan Tate's bid to learn accusers' identities

The UK High Court dismissed a judicial review brought by Andrew and Tristan Tate challenging the Crown Prosecution Service's decision to withhold the names of their female accusers in a UK criminal case. The brothers face charges including rape, human trafficking, and assault, with alleged offenses dating from 2012 to 2016. The judge ruled that the CPS acted reasonably, citing the Tates' high-profile status and the vulnerability of the complainants. The decision upholds the protective measures until the brothers are extradited from Romania, where they also face similar charges.

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The UK High Court dismissed a judicial review brought by Andrew and Tristan Tate challenging the Crown Prosecution Service's decision to withhold the names of their female accusers in a UK criminal case. The brothers face charges including rape, human trafficking, and assault, with alleged offenses dating from 2012 to 2016. The judge ruled that the CPS acted reasonably, citing the Tates' high-profile status and the vulnerability of the complainants. The decision upholds the protective measures until the brothers are extradited from Romania, where they also face similar charges.

gb28

UK doctors' union BMA votes to reject IHRA antisemitism definition, citing impact on free speech about Israel

The British Medical Association (BMA), representing over 200,000 UK doctors, voted at its annual representatives meeting to reject the use of the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance (IHRA) definition of antisemitism within the NHS. The motion calls for an investigation into the definition's impact on legitimate political speech and professional expression regarding Israel's actions in Palestine, and supports pausing the implementation of the Mann review recommendations. It also opposes vexatious complaints against doctors and the General Medical Council's right to appeal tribunal decisions. The vote follows cases where doctors faced disciplinary action for criticizing Israel's actions in Gaza, highlighting concerns over regulatory overreach and freedom of speech.

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The British Medical Association (BMA), representing over 200,000 UK doctors, voted at its annual representatives meeting to reject the use of the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance (IHRA) definition of antisemitism within the NHS. The motion calls for an investigation into the definition's impact on legitimate political speech and professional expression regarding Israel's actions in Palestine, and supports pausing the implementation of the Mann review recommendations. It also opposes vexatious complaints against doctors and the General Medical Council's right to appeal tribunal decisions. The vote follows cases where doctors faced disciplinary action for criticizing Israel's actions in Gaza, highlighting concerns over regulatory overreach and freedom of speech.

gb18

UK awards £6.7 million contract for trials of large drone submarine Excalibur

The UK Submarine Delivery Agency awarded a £6.7 million contract to M Subs for trials of the CETUS extra-large uncrewed underwater vehicle (XLUUV), named XV Excalibur. The trials, running from June 2026 to May 2028, aim to de-risk underwater autonomy and demonstrate military utility through payload testing. The vessel, unveiled in May 2025 at HM Naval Base Devonport, is the largest uncrewed underwater vessel trialled by the Royal Navy to date. The contract was awarded directly to M Subs without competition due to their unique technical knowledge. The work will inform future use of uncrewed systems in a mixed force structure and is part of the Royal Navy's Fleet Experimentation Squadron.

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The UK Submarine Delivery Agency awarded a £6.7 million contract to M Subs for trials of the CETUS extra-large uncrewed underwater vehicle (XLUUV), named XV Excalibur. The trials, running from June 2026 to May 2028, aim to de-risk underwater autonomy and demonstrate military utility through payload testing. The vessel, unveiled in May 2025 at HM Naval Base Devonport, is the largest uncrewed underwater vessel trialled by the Royal Navy to date. The contract was awarded directly to M Subs without competition due to their unique technical knowledge. The work will inform future use of uncrewed systems in a mixed force structure and is part of the Royal Navy's Fleet Experimentation Squadron.