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Germany's cost-of-living squeeze hardens into a political problem for Merz

Germany's economic strain deepened on June 2. A confidential report put the Federal Employment Agency on course for an 8-billion-euro deficit this year and 23 billion euros in debt by 2030 as joblessness rises, while Eurostat and ECB data showed euro-zone real wages falling for the first time in three years after May inflation hit 3.2 percent. A leading charity said Germany's poverty rate had reached a record 16.1 percent, affecting 13.34 million people, and warned against benefit cuts -- pressure now hardening into a political problem for Friedrich Merz's coalition.

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de88

Germany's labour agency heads for 23 billion euros in debt by 2030 as jobless forecasts worsen

Germany's Federal Employment Agency (BA) is on course for a deficit of more than 8 billion euros this year and cumulative debt of about 23 billion euros by 2030, according to a report prepared for the Bundestag budget committee and seen by Reuters. A weaker labour market -- higher average unemployment feeding higher jobless-benefit payouts -- is driving the shortfall, which the agency would have to cover with federal loans unless the unemployment-insurance contribution rate rises. BA chief Andrea Nahles said the hoped-for spring recovery had "not really got going."

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Germany's Federal Employment Agency (BA) is on course for a deficit of more than 8 billion euros this year and cumulative debt of about 23 billion euros by 2030, according to a report prepared for the Bundestag budget committee and seen by Reuters. A weaker labour market -- higher average unemployment feeding higher jobless-benefit payouts -- is driving the shortfall, which the agency would have to cover with federal loans unless the unemployment-insurance contribution rate rises. BA chief Andrea Nahles said the hoped-for spring recovery had "not really got going."

de85

Real wages fall across Europe for first time in three years due to energy shock

Real wages in the euro zone have fallen for the first time in three years, as May inflation hit 3.2% year-on-year, outpacing an expected 2.6% rise in negotiated wages, Eurostat and ECB data showed on Tuesday. The decline, also seen in the United States and the United Kingdom, comes as households were still recovering from the 2022-2023 inflation shock. In the third quarter of 2025, only half of OECD countries had regained their end-2021 average wage levels, with euro zone pay still 2% below that benchmark.

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Real wages in the euro zone have fallen for the first time in three years, as May inflation hit 3.2% year-on-year, outpacing an expected 2.6% rise in negotiated wages, Eurostat and ECB data showed on Tuesday. The decline, also seen in the United States and the United Kingdom, comes as households were still recovering from the 2022-2023 inflation shock. In the third quarter of 2025, only half of OECD countries had regained their end-2021 average wage levels, with euro zone pay still 2% below that benchmark.

de82

Germany's poverty rate hits record 16.1% in 2025, charity warns of 'crisis-like situation'

Germany's poverty rate rose to 16.1% in 2025, a new record, with 13.34 million people affected, according to the Paritätischer Wohlfahrtsverband. The charity warned of a 'crisis-like situation' and urged the government not to cut social benefits. Opposition parties and a CDU social politician criticized the government's austerity plans.

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Germany's poverty rate rose to 16.1% in 2025, a new record, with 13.34 million people affected, according to the Paritätischer Wohlfahrtsverband. The charity warned of a 'crisis-like situation' and urged the government not to cut social benefits. Opposition parties and a CDU social politician criticized the government's austerity plans.

de33

EU agrees on deportation centers; German citizenship law criticized

The EU has cleared the way for deportation centers in third countries for rejected asylum seekers, with sanctions for non-cooperation. Meanwhile, the article criticizes Germany's liberalized citizenship law under the previous government, which allows dual citizenship, arguing it weakens social cohesion and loyalty. It calls for a clearer commitment from new citizens to Germany as their own country.

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The EU has cleared the way for deportation centers in third countries for rejected asylum seekers, with sanctions for non-cooperation. Meanwhile, the article criticizes Germany's liberalized citizenship law under the previous government, which allows dual citizenship, arguing it weakens social cohesion and loyalty. It calls for a clearer commitment from new citizens to Germany as their own country.

de30

EU Commission demands Germany phase out internal border controls, citing lack of proportionality

The European Commission has formally assessed Germany's reintroduction of internal border controls with neighboring states, introduced in November 2024 and extended until September 2025, as insufficiently justified and disproportionate. It criticized late notifications, lack of detailed risk assessments, and failure to explain why controls were applied uniformly at all land borders, urging Germany to transition to targeted, risk-based checks. Similar assessments were issued for eight other EU states. The Commission linked its criticism to the upcoming entry into force of the EU's new migration and asylum pact in June 2026, which it hopes will address underlying concerns. German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt (CSU) had recently tightened the controls, including directing federal police to reject asylum seekers at land borders, a practice the Commission flagged as raising legal and security concerns.

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The European Commission has formally assessed Germany's reintroduction of internal border controls with neighboring states, introduced in November 2024 and extended until September 2025, as insufficiently justified and disproportionate. It criticized late notifications, lack of detailed risk assessments, and failure to explain why controls were applied uniformly at all land borders, urging Germany to transition to targeted, risk-based checks. Similar assessments were issued for eight other EU states. The Commission linked its criticism to the upcoming entry into force of the EU's new migration and asylum pact in June 2026, which it hopes will address underlying concerns. German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt (CSU) had recently tightened the controls, including directing federal police to reject asylum seekers at land borders, a practice the Commission flagged as raising legal and security concerns.

de28

Berlin intelligence report shows rise in extremists across all ideologies

Berlin's domestic intelligence agency (Verfassungsschutz) released its 2025 report, revealing an increase in extremists across all ideological categories from 9,370 to 9,720. Left-wing extremism saw the largest rise to 3,950 individuals, linked to an eco-anarchist ideology that fueled a major arson attack on the power grid in September 2025, cutting power to tens of thousands. Right-wing extremism grew to 1,480, driven by violent online networks. Islamist extremism rose to 2,590, and foreign-ideology extremism to 1,700. Interior Senator Iris Spranger highlighted left-wing extremism as having the most severe consequences recently.

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Berlin's domestic intelligence agency (Verfassungsschutz) released its 2025 report, revealing an increase in extremists across all ideological categories from 9,370 to 9,720. Left-wing extremism saw the largest rise to 3,950 individuals, linked to an eco-anarchist ideology that fueled a major arson attack on the power grid in September 2025, cutting power to tens of thousands. Right-wing extremism grew to 1,480, driven by violent online networks. Islamist extremism rose to 2,590, and foreign-ideology extremism to 1,700. Interior Senator Iris Spranger highlighted left-wing extremism as having the most severe consequences recently.

de25

German politicians warn of espionage risks over AfD delegation's Russia trip

Background: Russian President Vladimir Putin's adviser Anton Kobyakov invited German AfD lawmakers Markus Frohnmaier and Steffen Kotré to the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in June 2025. German politicians from CDU, SPD, and Greens have publicly condemned the AfD delegation's participation as a security risk, warning that Russian intelligence services use such events for information gathering and recruitment. The AfD defended the trip as maintaining diplomatic channels. The forum, boycotted by German officials since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, is also seeing renewed participation from some German business representatives.

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Background: Russian President Vladimir Putin's adviser Anton Kobyakov invited German AfD lawmakers Markus Frohnmaier and Steffen Kotré to the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in June 2025. German politicians from CDU, SPD, and Greens have publicly condemned the AfD delegation's participation as a security risk, warning that Russian intelligence services use such events for information gathering and recruitment. The AfD defended the trip as maintaining diplomatic channels. The forum, boycotted by German officials since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, is also seeing renewed participation from some German business representatives.

de23

German military procurement criticized for buying familiar systems instead of needed capabilities

A Kiel Institute analysis finds that four years after Chancellor Scholz's 'Zeitenwende' speech, German military procurement remains flawed. Germany buys over 60% of equipment from domestic firms, neglecting European alternatives, and fails to invest in new paradigm systems like drones, AI, and electronic warfare. The defense strategy lacks a European dimension, omitting France, the UK, and Poland. Delivery timelines are unclear, with a rising share of orders lacking final delivery dates.

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A Kiel Institute analysis finds that four years after Chancellor Scholz's 'Zeitenwende' speech, German military procurement remains flawed. Germany buys over 60% of equipment from domestic firms, neglecting European alternatives, and fails to invest in new paradigm systems like drones, AI, and electronic warfare. The defense strategy lacks a European dimension, omitting France, the UK, and Poland. Delivery timelines are unclear, with a rising share of orders lacking final delivery dates.

Frequently Asked

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What is the projected deficit for Germany's Federal Employment Agency in 2025?
The Federal Employment Agency is on course for a deficit of more than 8 billion euros in 2025.
How much cumulative debt does the BA expect by 2030?
The BA expects cumulative debt of about 23 billion euros by 2030, roughly double its earlier 2026 estimate.
What is Germany's current unemployment rate?
Unemployment stood at 6.3 percent in May 2025.
What percentage of Germans are living in poverty in 2025?
16.1 percent of people in Germany, or 13.34 million, were living in poverty in 2025, a new record high.
How are German voters reacting to the cost-of-living crisis?
A late-May poll found 69 percent of Germans expect the far-right AfD to win a state premiership in autumn 2025.