Flash estimate of August 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)
Germany is arming for pressure while its governing centre shrinks
Germany answered Russian pressure with a €12 billion long-range arsenal and new aid for Ukraine, yet its auto industry lost 42,300 jobs and the AfD approached a first state government. Berlin is building harder external defences as economic stagnation and coalition weakness erode the political centre expected to sustain them.
Upcoming
22 key official events aheadElection to the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt; a closely watched eastern-state contest given strong AfD polling, with national coalition-stability implications.
Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET. Accompanied by the updated ECB staff macroeconomic projections.
Final August 2026 inflation reading with full category breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)
Election to the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; an eastern-state vote held the same day as the Berlin election, with AfD and SPD strength in focus.
Election of the 20th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin and the district assemblies; a major city-state contest shaping governance of the capital.
Opening Bundestag debate on the draft Bundeshaushalt 2027, traditionally held in a September sitting week after the summer recess and including the headline general-policy debate on the Chancellery budget. (provisional date — 2027 budget timetable not yet officially fixed)
Flash estimate of September 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)
Final September 2026 inflation reading with detailed breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)
Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.
Flash estimate of October 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)
Final October 2026 inflation reading with full category breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)
Flash estimate of November 2026 inflation, released near month-end. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)
Concluding budget week with the second and third readings and final vote on the Haushaltsgesetz 2027, customarily late November. (provisional date — 2027 budget timetable not yet officially fixed)
Final November 2026 inflation reading with detailed breakdown. (provisional date — exact mid-month day not yet posted by Destatis)
Final scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting of 2026; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET, with updated ECB staff projections.
Flash estimate of December 2026 inflation and the first read on the full-year 2026 average inflation rate. (provisional date — exact day not yet posted by Destatis)
First scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting of 2027; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.
Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting with updated ECB staff macroeconomic projections; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.
Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.
Scheduled Governing Council monetary policy meeting with updated ECB staff projections; rate decision at 14:15 CET, press conference at 14:45 CET.
Official 2027 Governing Council calendar; rate decision in Frankfurt followed by a press conference.
Recent events
de48AfD co-leader Weidel vows to exit euro and Schengen if in government
Alice Weidel, co-leader of Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), announced in a ZDF summer interview that the party would seek Germany's withdrawal from the euro and the Schengen Area, close national borders, and implement stricter migration policies if it enters the federal government. She criticized the CDU's refusal to cooperate with the AfD, claiming it would cost the CDU future elections. The AfD is polling above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of September 6 state elections and at 27% nationally, ahead of the CDU's 22%. Weidel also reaffirmed opposition to the combustion-engine ban and rejected climate change measures. Co-leader Tino Chrupalla, in a separate ARD interview, downplayed human-caused climate change and called for abolishing postal voting.
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AfD co-leader Weidel vows to exit euro and Schengen if in government
Alice Weidel, co-leader of Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), announced in a ZDF summer interview that the party would seek Germany's withdrawal from the euro and the Schengen Area, close national borders, and implement stricter migration policies if it enters the federal government. She criticized the CDU's refusal to cooperate with the AfD, claiming it would cost the CDU future elections. The AfD is polling above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of September 6 state elections and at 27% nationally, ahead of the CDU's 22%. Weidel also reaffirmed opposition to the combustion-engine ban and rejected climate change measures. Co-leader Tino Chrupalla, in a separate ARD interview, downplayed human-caused climate change and called for abolishing postal voting.
Alice Weidel, co-leader of Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), announced in a ZDF summer interview that the party would seek Germany's withdrawal from the euro and the Schengen Area, close national borders, and implement stricter migration policies if it enters the federal government. She criticized the CDU's refusal to cooperate with the AfD, claiming it would cost the CDU future elections. The AfD is polling above 40% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of September 6 state elections and at 27% nationally, ahead of the CDU's 22%. Weidel also reaffirmed opposition to the combustion-engine ban and rejected climate change measures. Co-leader Tino Chrupalla, in a separate ARD interview, downplayed human-caused climate change and called for abolishing postal voting.
de45German establishment weighs unprecedented measures to contain potential first AfD state government
Background: The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leads polls in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 state election, and constitutional experts have debated federal coercion mechanisms. Now, as AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund is projected to win an outright majority, German federal and state officials are considering unprecedented measures to contain the party's first state government. Options include holding separate sensitive meetings without the AfD, building 'Chinese walls' in intelligence-sharing systems, potentially reducing fiscal transfers, and invoking the never-used constitutional instrument of federal coercion. The moves reflect deep concerns about the AfD's alleged closeness to Russia and its questioning of Germany's postwar order, but also carry risks of feeding the party's narrative of establishment rejection. A new POLITICO report details concrete containment strategies being considered by German federal and state officials ahead of the September 6 election. Options include holding separate informal meetings of interior ministers without Saxony-Anhalt's representative for sensitive security discussions, building 'Chinese walls' in intelligence-sharing systems to block AfD access to data on right-wing extremism and espionage, potentially reducing fiscal transfers (though legally difficult), and invoking the never-used Article 37 federal coercion mechanism. The report cites Thuringia's interior minister Georg Maier (SPD) warning of AfD's 'good channels' to Moscow, and Green politician Konstantin von Notz citing Austria's FPÖ experience as a cautionary tale. AfD officials deny Russian ties, while far-right intellectuals advise the party to govern cautiously to avoid backlash. Public support for the exclusion strategy has fallen to 46%.
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German establishment weighs unprecedented measures to contain potential first AfD state government
Background: The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leads polls in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 state election, and constitutional experts have debated federal coercion mechanisms. Now, as AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund is projected to win an outright majority, German federal and state officials are considering unprecedented measures to contain the party's first state government. Options include holding separate sensitive meetings without the AfD, building 'Chinese walls' in intelligence-sharing systems, potentially reducing fiscal transfers, and invoking the never-used constitutional instrument of federal coercion. The moves reflect deep concerns about the AfD's alleged closeness to Russia and its questioning of Germany's postwar order, but also carry risks of feeding the party's narrative of establishment rejection. A new POLITICO report details concrete containment strategies being considered by German federal and state officials ahead of the September 6 election. Options include holding separate informal meetings of interior ministers without Saxony-Anhalt's representative for sensitive security discussions, building 'Chinese walls' in intelligence-sharing systems to block AfD access to data on right-wing extremism and espionage, potentially reducing fiscal transfers (though legally difficult), and invoking the never-used Article 37 federal coercion mechanism. The report cites Thuringia's interior minister Georg Maier (SPD) warning of AfD's 'good channels' to Moscow, and Green politician Konstantin von Notz citing Austria's FPÖ experience as a cautionary tale. AfD officials deny Russian ties, while far-right intellectuals advise the party to govern cautiously to avoid backlash. Public support for the exclusion strategy has fallen to 46%.
Background: The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leads polls in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 state election, and constitutional experts have debated federal coercion mechanisms. Now, as AfD candidate Ulrich Siegmund is projected to win an outright majority, German federal and state officials are considering unprecedented measures to contain the party's first state government. Options include holding separate sensitive meetings without the AfD, building 'Chinese walls' in intelligence-sharing systems, potentially reducing fiscal transfers, and invoking the never-used constitutional instrument of federal coercion. The moves reflect deep concerns about the AfD's alleged closeness to Russia and its questioning of Germany's postwar order, but also carry risks of feeding the party's narrative of establishment rejection. A new POLITICO report details concrete containment strategies being considered by German federal and state officials ahead of the September 6 election. Options include holding separate informal meetings of interior ministers without Saxony-Anhalt's representative for sensitive security discussions, building 'Chinese walls' in intelligence-sharing systems to block AfD access to data on right-wing extremism and espionage, potentially reducing fiscal transfers (though legally difficult), and invoking the never-used Article 37 federal coercion mechanism. The report cites Thuringia's interior minister Georg Maier (SPD) warning of AfD's 'good channels' to Moscow, and Green politician Konstantin von Notz citing Austria's FPÖ experience as a cautionary tale. AfD officials deny Russian ties, while far-right intellectuals advise the party to govern cautiously to avoid backlash. Public support for the exclusion strategy has fallen to 46%.
de38German coalition tensions flare ahead of cabinet retreat as AfD leaders make controversial statements
Background: Germany's federal government returned from summer recess facing a dense political agenda, including state elections in Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and Berlin, where the AfD is polling strongly, with internal coalition tensions persisting over major reforms. Today: Ahead of the cabinet retreat at Schloss Neuhardenberg, coalition disputes have intensified over health, pension, and climate policies. AOK head Carola Reimann defended telephone sick notes against government plans to abolish them, calling the return to mandatory certificates from the first day 'unsinnig'. The SPD presidium defended its 500 billion euro special fund, with leader Lars Klingbeil stating over 50 billion euros are already in circulation. The BVMW called on Chancellor Merz to use his authority more decisively, warning the coalition could fall apart. AfD leaders Tino Chrupalla and Alice Weidel made controversial statements in summer interviews, questioning postal voting, dismissing climate change, and calling for the abolition of the euro. The Greens demanded a climate policy reversal, including a national heat protection plan. Health Minister Carsten Linnemann said he wants to preserve pension entitlements for family caregivers. Merz promised 'quick and comprehensive relief' for the economy. Berlin's senate administrations are back online after a cyberattack.
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German coalition tensions flare ahead of cabinet retreat as AfD leaders make controversial statements
Background: Germany's federal government returned from summer recess facing a dense political agenda, including state elections in Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and Berlin, where the AfD is polling strongly, with internal coalition tensions persisting over major reforms. Today: Ahead of the cabinet retreat at Schloss Neuhardenberg, coalition disputes have intensified over health, pension, and climate policies. AOK head Carola Reimann defended telephone sick notes against government plans to abolish them, calling the return to mandatory certificates from the first day 'unsinnig'. The SPD presidium defended its 500 billion euro special fund, with leader Lars Klingbeil stating over 50 billion euros are already in circulation. The BVMW called on Chancellor Merz to use his authority more decisively, warning the coalition could fall apart. AfD leaders Tino Chrupalla and Alice Weidel made controversial statements in summer interviews, questioning postal voting, dismissing climate change, and calling for the abolition of the euro. The Greens demanded a climate policy reversal, including a national heat protection plan. Health Minister Carsten Linnemann said he wants to preserve pension entitlements for family caregivers. Merz promised 'quick and comprehensive relief' for the economy. Berlin's senate administrations are back online after a cyberattack.
Background: Germany's federal government returned from summer recess facing a dense political agenda, including state elections in Saxony-Anhalt, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and Berlin, where the AfD is polling strongly, with internal coalition tensions persisting over major reforms. Today: Ahead of the cabinet retreat at Schloss Neuhardenberg, coalition disputes have intensified over health, pension, and climate policies. AOK head Carola Reimann defended telephone sick notes against government plans to abolish them, calling the return to mandatory certificates from the first day 'unsinnig'. The SPD presidium defended its 500 billion euro special fund, with leader Lars Klingbeil stating over 50 billion euros are already in circulation. The BVMW called on Chancellor Merz to use his authority more decisively, warning the coalition could fall apart. AfD leaders Tino Chrupalla and Alice Weidel made controversial statements in summer interviews, questioning postal voting, dismissing climate change, and calling for the abolition of the euro. The Greens demanded a climate policy reversal, including a national heat protection plan. Health Minister Carsten Linnemann said he wants to preserve pension entitlements for family caregivers. Merz promised 'quick and comprehensive relief' for the economy. Berlin's senate administrations are back online after a cyberattack.
de35AfD leader Chrupalla dismisses climate change as 'side issue' amid extreme summer
In an ARD summer interview, AfD co-leader Tino Chrupalla called climate change a 'side issue' and accused media of 'panic-mongering' and a 'climate hype', despite Germany experiencing an extreme summer with heat-related deaths and wildfires. He advocated for 'climate adaptation' measures like more air conditioning and affordable electricity, and questioned the scientific consensus on human-caused climate change. The interview also covered the AfD's electoral prospects in Saxony-Anhalt, where the party leads in polls, and Chrupalla's unsubstantiated claims about postal voting irregularities in care homes.
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AfD leader Chrupalla dismisses climate change as 'side issue' amid extreme summer
In an ARD summer interview, AfD co-leader Tino Chrupalla called climate change a 'side issue' and accused media of 'panic-mongering' and a 'climate hype', despite Germany experiencing an extreme summer with heat-related deaths and wildfires. He advocated for 'climate adaptation' measures like more air conditioning and affordable electricity, and questioned the scientific consensus on human-caused climate change. The interview also covered the AfD's electoral prospects in Saxony-Anhalt, where the party leads in polls, and Chrupalla's unsubstantiated claims about postal voting irregularities in care homes.
In an ARD summer interview, AfD co-leader Tino Chrupalla called climate change a 'side issue' and accused media of 'panic-mongering' and a 'climate hype', despite Germany experiencing an extreme summer with heat-related deaths and wildfires. He advocated for 'climate adaptation' measures like more air conditioning and affordable electricity, and questioned the scientific consensus on human-caused climate change. The interview also covered the AfD's electoral prospects in Saxony-Anhalt, where the party leads in polls, and Chrupalla's unsubstantiated claims about postal voting irregularities in care homes.
de33German court reveals Turkish MIT intelligence cell operating inside consulate with police informant
Germany's Federal Court of Justice (BGH) rulings from August and September 2025 exposed a Turkish MIT intelligence operation run from the Turkish Consulate General in Hürth, near Cologne. The operation allegedly involved a locally hired consular employee and a Cologne police officer who supplied internal police information. The BGH confirmed a permanent MIT 'Legalresidentur' inside the consulate, staffed by career intelligence officers. The court rejected the consular employee's immunity claims, ruling that espionage activity is not protected. The case highlights Turkey's aggressive overseas surveillance of diaspora and opposition groups.
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German court reveals Turkish MIT intelligence cell operating inside consulate with police informant
Germany's Federal Court of Justice (BGH) rulings from August and September 2025 exposed a Turkish MIT intelligence operation run from the Turkish Consulate General in Hürth, near Cologne. The operation allegedly involved a locally hired consular employee and a Cologne police officer who supplied internal police information. The BGH confirmed a permanent MIT 'Legalresidentur' inside the consulate, staffed by career intelligence officers. The court rejected the consular employee's immunity claims, ruling that espionage activity is not protected. The case highlights Turkey's aggressive overseas surveillance of diaspora and opposition groups.
Germany's Federal Court of Justice (BGH) rulings from August and September 2025 exposed a Turkish MIT intelligence operation run from the Turkish Consulate General in Hürth, near Cologne. The operation allegedly involved a locally hired consular employee and a Cologne police officer who supplied internal police information. The BGH confirmed a permanent MIT 'Legalresidentur' inside the consulate, staffed by career intelligence officers. The court rejected the consular employee's immunity claims, ruling that espionage activity is not protected. The case highlights Turkey's aggressive overseas surveillance of diaspora and opposition groups.
de25German Greens Demand Climate Emergency Plan and Policy Reversal from Merz
Background: The Green parliamentary group had previously urged Chancellor Friedrich Merz to adopt a national fire management strategy after wildfires in the Eifel. Following Merz's visit to the wildfire-affected Eifel community of Hürtgenwald, the Greens have escalated their demands, calling for a 'climate emergency plan' and the withdrawal or fundamental revision of several energy and climate laws, including the building modernization act, the network package, the renewable energy act amendment, and the energy efficiency act. Parliamentary group leader Katharina Dröge also demanded faster renewables expansion, removal of environmentally harmful subsidies, a highway speed limit, and a national heat protection plan. The German Environmental Aid (DUH) criticized the government's climate policy as a 'blatant step backwards,' citing new fossil subsidies for gas plants, hurdles for renewables, a renaissance of gas heating, cuts to heat pump funding, and reduced support for rooftop solar.
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German Greens Demand Climate Emergency Plan and Policy Reversal from Merz
Background: The Green parliamentary group had previously urged Chancellor Friedrich Merz to adopt a national fire management strategy after wildfires in the Eifel. Following Merz's visit to the wildfire-affected Eifel community of Hürtgenwald, the Greens have escalated their demands, calling for a 'climate emergency plan' and the withdrawal or fundamental revision of several energy and climate laws, including the building modernization act, the network package, the renewable energy act amendment, and the energy efficiency act. Parliamentary group leader Katharina Dröge also demanded faster renewables expansion, removal of environmentally harmful subsidies, a highway speed limit, and a national heat protection plan. The German Environmental Aid (DUH) criticized the government's climate policy as a 'blatant step backwards,' citing new fossil subsidies for gas plants, hurdles for renewables, a renaissance of gas heating, cuts to heat pump funding, and reduced support for rooftop solar.
Background: The Green parliamentary group had previously urged Chancellor Friedrich Merz to adopt a national fire management strategy after wildfires in the Eifel. Following Merz's visit to the wildfire-affected Eifel community of Hürtgenwald, the Greens have escalated their demands, calling for a 'climate emergency plan' and the withdrawal or fundamental revision of several energy and climate laws, including the building modernization act, the network package, the renewable energy act amendment, and the energy efficiency act. Parliamentary group leader Katharina Dröge also demanded faster renewables expansion, removal of environmentally harmful subsidies, a highway speed limit, and a national heat protection plan. The German Environmental Aid (DUH) criticized the government's climate policy as a 'blatant step backwards,' citing new fossil subsidies for gas plants, hurdles for renewables, a renaissance of gas heating, cuts to heat pump funding, and reduced support for rooftop solar.
de23German County Association Opposes Constitutional Amendment for Climate Adaptation
Background: SPD-led federal ministries have proposed a constitutional amendment to make climate adaptation a joint task, facing opposition from the Union. Today, the German County Association (Deutscher Landkreistag) has come out against the amendment, arguing that mixed financing would blur responsibilities and create 'organized irresponsibility'. President Achim Brötel called for clear rules and reliable funding for municipalities instead. The issue is on the agenda for the cabinet retreat in Neuhardenberg, where heat protection will be discussed but no decisions are expected.
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German County Association Opposes Constitutional Amendment for Climate Adaptation
Background: SPD-led federal ministries have proposed a constitutional amendment to make climate adaptation a joint task, facing opposition from the Union. Today, the German County Association (Deutscher Landkreistag) has come out against the amendment, arguing that mixed financing would blur responsibilities and create 'organized irresponsibility'. President Achim Brötel called for clear rules and reliable funding for municipalities instead. The issue is on the agenda for the cabinet retreat in Neuhardenberg, where heat protection will be discussed but no decisions are expected.
Background: SPD-led federal ministries have proposed a constitutional amendment to make climate adaptation a joint task, facing opposition from the Union. Today, the German County Association (Deutscher Landkreistag) has come out against the amendment, arguing that mixed financing would blur responsibilities and create 'organized irresponsibility'. President Achim Brötel called for clear rules and reliable funding for municipalities instead. The issue is on the agenda for the cabinet retreat in Neuhardenberg, where heat protection will be discussed but no decisions are expected.
de15Churches in Saxony-Anhalt campaign against AfD ahead of state election
Catholic and Protestant churches in Saxony-Anhalt are actively campaigning against the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) ahead of the September 6 state election. In Zeitz, the Catholic parish of St. Peter and Paul Cathedral is distributing posters and flyers explaining why the party is 'not electable for Christians.' The church's efforts are part of a broader mobilization by religious institutions against the AfD, which leads polls in the region.
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Churches in Saxony-Anhalt campaign against AfD ahead of state election
Catholic and Protestant churches in Saxony-Anhalt are actively campaigning against the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) ahead of the September 6 state election. In Zeitz, the Catholic parish of St. Peter and Paul Cathedral is distributing posters and flyers explaining why the party is 'not electable for Christians.' The church's efforts are part of a broader mobilization by religious institutions against the AfD, which leads polls in the region.
Catholic and Protestant churches in Saxony-Anhalt are actively campaigning against the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) ahead of the September 6 state election. In Zeitz, the Catholic parish of St. Peter and Paul Cathedral is distributing posters and flyers explaining why the party is 'not electable for Christians.' The church's efforts are part of a broader mobilization by religious institutions against the AfD, which leads polls in the region.