What Does the End of the Russia-Ukraine War Mean for the World?
According to CCTV News, on the local date of [specific date not provided], U.S. President Trump stated that he had a telephone conversation with Russian President Putin. Both sides expressed a desire to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict and agreed to cooperate closely, with their respective teams beginning negotiations immediately.
According to the established arrangements, senior officials from the United States and Russia have now begun formal negotiations in Saudi Arabia. So, what exactly is the focus of this globally watched negotiation? What are the prospects for reaching an agreement? Once this years-long war ends, what impact will it have on the world? This article will provide a comprehensive and in-depth analysis for you.
The Outcome of the Battlefield Reflected in the Negotiation Terms****
Currently, Russia's negotiation premises and specific conditions are very clear.
俄方的谈判前提是Ukraine disbands its armed forces and can only establish small self-defense units, electing a new pro-Russian leadership.
This premise aligns with Russia's objectives in launching the Russia-Ukraine war in [specific year and month], which were to prevent the Ukrainian Nazi armed group Azov Battalion from massacring local residents in eastern Ukraine and to thoroughly "demilitarize" Ukraine. As for the strategic goal of establishing a pro-Russian regime, it aims to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO and to return to the Yanukovych era characterized by stable relations with Russia, which would be conducive to the steady growth of Ukraine's economy and the welfare of its people.
Under this premise, Russia has proposed two major solutions.
Plan One: Russia controls all regions along the Dnieper River and Odessa.****
This plan completely overlaps with the eastern offensive route of the Russian military previously outlined by Xue Yin.
This can be seen as the minimum goal of the Russian side in negotiations, which is to control the entire eastern region of Ukraine. Strategically, controlling the banks of the Dnieper River equates to de facto control over Ukraine's only natural barrier. Since the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, straddles the Dnieper River, this effectively splits it in two and tightly constrains the Kyiv regime.
Due to the flat terrain west of the Dnieper River, Russian mechanized forces could potentially advance westward at any time. If this plan is realized, it would not only prevent Kyiv from passing any resolutions to join NATO, but also allow Russian forces to take over the entire Ukraine at any moment, even if Kyiv were to turn against them. This scenario is roughly similar to the script of the U.S. military occupation of Japan in the past.
At the strategic level of the economy, after Russia gains control of the Dnieper River, it will occupy more than half of the arable land within Ukraine and control the largest source of electricity and water, the Dnieper River. Occupying half of the arable land will significantly strengthen Russia's pricing power for agricultural products in the international market, weaken the grain pricing power of the four major grain traders in Europe and America, and further safeguard the food security of the Sino-Russian bloc. Controlling the largest source of electricity and water is equivalent to holding the energy supply of the entire Ukraine, and since the hydroelectric and thermal power stations across the country were established by the Soviet Union, this now amounts to reclaiming them.
方案二:乌克兰承认克里米亚、顿巴斯、扎波罗热和赫尔松属于俄罗斯。俄罗斯在敖德萨和哈尔科夫设立军事基地或者控制德左Republic和敖德萨,并在与摩尔多瓦、罗马尼亚、波兰和匈牙利的边界部署兵力。
This plan represents the highest objective of Russian negotiations and aligns perfectly with the strategic advancement roadmap previously outlined by Xueyin for Russia's comprehensive resolution of Ukraine. In this map, the Russian route precisely takes over the borders of Moldova, including Transnistria, Poland, Romania, and other countries.
In this plan, Russia not only incorporates the five eastern regions into its territory, but the areas where Russian troops are stationed also include significant lithium deposits and arable land. Particularly after occupying the Odessa region, Russia will completely control the majority of the oil and natural gas resources in the Black Sea.
Militarily, capturing Odessa would completely block NATO's shortest and highest-capacity maritime supply route to Ukrainian forces through the Black Sea. Additionally, by occupying this area, Russian forces could control the Snake Island region and establish an electronic warfare outpost to counter precision strikes from the U.S. military base in Romania against the Russian Black Sea Fleet. This would significantly enhance the security of the Black Sea Fleet, allowing Russian forces to deploy the fleet to further intervene in Syrian and Middle Eastern affairs, yielding substantial strategic benefits.
Once this plan is approved, and Russia successfully establishes military bases in Odessa and Kharkiv or controls the Transnistria region and Odessa, and deploys troops along the borders with Moldova, Romania, Poland, and Hungary, it would effectively cut off the retreat route for Ukrainian forces in Kursk. Previously, Zelensky had the delusion of exchanging Kursk for territories in eastern Ukraine, but now that plan is almost completely dashed. Additionally, these two military bases can keep an eye on the Ukrainian regime. Should another color revolution erupt in Kyiv, the Russian military bases could quickly deploy special forces to capture the top officials in Kyiv and swiftly take control of the situation.
At the same time, controlling Transnistria and the borders with countries like Moldova means that the Russian military has effectively taken over almost all of Ukraine's national borders, completely severing the possibility of western Ukraine independently joining NATO or merging with Poland.
In this plan, although Russia has not occupied Ukrainian territory, it has effectively placed Ukraine under its "guardianship." This aligns closely with the objectives of the special military operation launched by the Russian military, which aimed to completely and thoroughly demilitarize Ukraine.
It should be noted that, so far, among the borderlines almost entirely controlled by the Russian military, except for Belarus where Russian troops are already stationed, there are no troops stationed in areas bordering Slovakia and others. The reason the Russian military does not seek to control these areas is that Slovakia is a necessary passage for Russian natural gas to enter Europe through traditional pipelines. Previously, Slovakia publicly threatened to cut off electricity supply to Ukraine after Zelensky severed the Russian oil pipeline leading to the country. This indicates that Slovakia and the older European countries behind it are deeply dependent on Russian energy. Therefore, it is completely unnecessary for the Russian military to control this area, and not controlling it also expresses Russia's determination to continue advancing energy cooperation with Europe.
Whether it is Plan One or Plan Two, Russia has already achieved numerous strategic objectives: the Russian military controls the Donbas mountain region at the border between Russia and Ukraine, an area where NATO originally planned to deploy an anti-missile system. Once deployed successfully, Russia's strategic and missile positions along the Volga River would be completely exposed.
At the same time, this region serves as a "fortress wall" for China and Russia to break through the easternmost highlands of Eurasia and suppress the entire NATO. Once this area is captured, China and Russia, standing atop this wall, can easily counter NATO's deployments in Europe. The Donbas region also acts as a transitional zone between the whole of Europe, the Near East maritime area, and the continental regions where China and Russia are located. Controlling this area allows for the suppression of the Middle East, Southern Europe, and North Africa. The Black Sea Fleet can further project military power into the Middle East, and the Russian Southern Military District's air force can directly threaten U.S. forces stationed in Iraq and Syria through the Hamedan Air Base in Iran. In previous years, the Russian military utilized this base to deploy Tu strategic bombers to traverse Iraq and Syria, bombing U.S.- and Israeli-supported militias.
How will Russia fare in victory or defeat?****
After three years of the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia has finally forced the United States to the negotiating table. This is undoubtedly a victory for Russia.
The Russian military successfully employed a magnetic attraction tactic, tightly entangling NATO forces in the eastern region of Ukraine. Whenever Ukraine and NATO prepared to retreat, the Russian forces would ease the front line, making NATO believe there was an opportunity, but subsequently, NATO would find itself in a bitter struggle. Tactically, NATO has always remained distant from the front lines in eastern Ukraine, unable to receive effective nearby supplies from NATO, and the extended supply lines have consistently been under bombardment by the Russian Aerospace Forces.
In the three-year war, the Ukrainian army suffered over ten thousand deaths, a level of mortality that is among the highest of the century.
It can be said that this war represents a significant failure for NATO. Militarily, almost all the mercenaries NATO could mobilize after the Syrian war have been deployed, and the European neo-Nazi forces supported by Jewish capital, which are anti-Russian and anti-Chinese, have almost all perished in Donbas. As long as the Russian military occupies the five eastern states of Ukraine, controls the Dnieper River, and secures all of Ukraine's borders, it can effectively prevent Jewish capital from migrating to Ukraine to establish a second Zionist state. This ensures that their dream of establishing a Khazar Khanate will ultimately fail.
Strategically, Ukraine's defeat has thwarted the possibility of the United States creating divisions in Central Asia and the western regions of our country. Once the Khazar Khanate fails, the subsequent Eastern Turkic Khanate and the more distant ancient Xianbei state cannot be established. This not only strengthens Russia's security in its Central Asian backyard but also significantly improves the security of China's "Belt and Road" initiative's westward advance bridgehead, effectively counterbalancing the strategic impact of losing Syria on China and Russia.
Russia will undoubtedly march its formidable army southward.****
The current Russia-Ukraine negotiations are a significant victory for Russia's military strikes. This is not a special favor granted by Trump, but because if the war continues, the only ones to suffer would be the United States and Europe. The reason the United States has taken the initiative to propose negotiations is not based on Trump's personal will, but fundamentally because the U.S. has recognized that it cannot achieve a military victory in Ukraine.
The initiation of these negotiations signifies Russia's victory, a triumph achieved only after deploying over ten thousand troops. This once again confirms the great man's saying that political power grows out of the barrel of a gun. Western aggressors will never understand the language of diplomacy; the only language they comprehend is that of force!
Once the Russia-Ukraine battlefield freezes, the elite forces among the Russian troops will return to the Middle Eastern battlefield. In the Middle East, Russia still has many enemies, and Hezbollah is one of them.
Currently, although the regime in Syria has been seized, it does not control the entire country. The southern regions, the Kurds, and the Turkic armed forces supported by Turkey, which are inclined towards the "Belt and Road" initiative, all pose obstacles to consolidating power in Syria.
As long as Russian troops return to Syria, they will inevitably send elite forces from the Russia-Ukraine war to the Russian ports of Tartus and Latakia in Syria, which will significantly constrain Joulani, who is supported by the US, Israel, and Saudi Arabia.
According to the original plan, after appointing terrorists, including Dong, to high-ranking positions in the government forces, Joulani's next step was to integrate the Syrian army and start creating incidents of friction with Iran. At that time, Russia, allied with Iran, would move south into Syria and project military force into the Middle East, thereby restraining Syria from behind. This would greatly compensate for the losses of China and Russia in Syria. Let's wait and see the specific actions!
"Nonsensical remarks resurface."****
Here's the translation of the provided content: It's worth mentioning that as the Russia-Ukraine negotiations begin, absurd statements have started to flood various platforms, suggesting that Russia will betray China. Considering that North Korea has sent troops to actively assist Russia in reversing the war situation, they have also dragged North Korea into it, claiming that North Korea will betray China as well. They even cited Ding Wei's thesis on guarding against the Soviet Union from the TV series "Drawing Sword" as evidence.
These nonsensical statements were prevalent a decade ago and were originally shattered by the high-level strategic cooperation between China and Russia. However, they are resurfacing now as the United States and Russia are about to begin negotiations.
Many people believe that the US-Russia negotiations represent a compromise by Russia to the United States, which is a complete reversal of cause and effect. Objectively speaking, it is the relative success of Russia's military strikes that has forced the United States to accept negotiations. Moreover, looking at the preconditions and terms proposed by Russia, it is clear that it is not Russia compromising to the United States.
This kind of rhetoric is merely the usual behavior of so-called experts, and like the previous propaganda that hyped Russia's battlefield failures, it is extremely anti-intellectual and mindless.
The greatest paradox of such rhetoric is the neglect of core interests. Here, Xueyin uses their own spear against their shield. Regarding the national security defense thesis by Ding Wei they cited, the thesis focuses on the most significant external security challenges China faces. On a specific date, the NATO Madrid Summit explicitly demanded for the first time that Japan and South Korea prepare for war against China. This marked the first joint effort between NATO's Eastern and Western factions to fully encircle China, Russia, and North Korea, which is currently the most pressing issue for China's national defense and also a major concern for Russia's national defense. How can Russia compromise?
Similarly, NATO is also the primary adversary of Russia and North Korea, and unlike China, Russia and North Korea bear the brunt of this, which determines that China, standing behind these two countries, is their natural ally. If China were to turn against them, their two-front war would quickly collapse. What retreat do the Russian elites have? The first to perish if they fall out with China would be Russia itself. Didn't Russia know that the Sino-American alliance led to the downfall of the Soviet Union? Why is it that some experts and professors, who should understand the principle that when the lips are gone, the teeth will be cold—a concept even elementary students grasp—seem not to understand? Is it a matter of being muddle-headed or having ulterior motives? That's for you to guess!
The Global Impact of the End of the Russia-Ukraine War
01*
economic pressure
Everything has two sides. While China and Russia benefit geopolitically, Jewish capital has also seized the opportunity to wield its financial blade, directly targeting China and Russia.
After his meeting with Putin, Trump expressed a willingness to welcome Russia back into the international community, a move by the United States to entice Russia, which aligns with the U.S. objective of spreading narratives of Russian surrender to influence Chinese public opinion. Simultaneously, this suggests that the U.S. might ease economic sanctions on Russia to lure it, similar to how the U.S. and Europe relaxed energy sanctions on Russia in previous years.
Once sanctions are lifted, Russian oil will return to the international market, and the surplus oil supply will impact international oil prices, potentially causing a direct and sharp decline in oil prices.
Although the United States is currently imposing sanctions on Iran, Iran's oil exports are far from being as substantial as Russia's. Once Russian oil is released, the previously low-priced Urals crude will disrupt international oil prices.
Trump has clearly indicated his intention to drive international oil prices down to the dollar level. In the same year, the United States also eased sanctions on Russia. Following the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations and the Iran nuclear deal in the latter half of the year, oil prices plummeted to the dollar mark.
As mentioned in previous articles, low oil prices combined with a strong US dollar will aid the Federal Reserve in exploiting Southern countries. Once the Russia-Ukraine peace talks conclude, international oil prices are expected to fall below the dollar. If Saudi Arabia cooperates with the US to increase production, and oil prices drop to single digits, it will undoubtedly cause significant damage worldwide.
The sectors that will suffer the most are photovoltaics and new energy, as the drop in oil prices will inevitably lead to a rapid increase in their costs, making operational losses a common occurrence. Historically, in a certain year and month, the plummeting oil prices caused Hanergy Thin Film, the largest photovoltaic enterprise in Jiangsu, China, to be shorted by a Jewish hedge fund in Gaoyun City, nearly leading to bankruptcy. Photovoltaics and new energy have been strong export products for China in recent years. At the same time, the sharp drop in oil prices will threaten the real estate sector, as evidenced by the recent debt crisis involving a trillion yuan.
02*
Trump and the Federal Reserve's duet
Since taking office, Trump has consistently advocated for lowering oil prices, restricting immigration, and rapidly reducing interest rates to cater to his supporters. However, we must not only listen to his words but also observe his actions. In this regard, Trump's rhetoric and actions are completely contradictory.
Trump claims to reduce inflation, which is extremely harmful to white people and the ordinary class, as their monthly expenses are overwhelming. However, in reality, Trump's crackdown on immigration and rapid interest rate cuts will undoubtedly lead to a swift rebound in wages and prices.
Trump, known as the "King of Understanding" who claims to know everything, surely understands these basic economic principles, doesn't he? Of course he does.
Xue Yin believes that Trump's actions are actually collaborating with the Federal Reserve in a double act, the core of which is to unexpectedly freeze interest rate cuts, and even restart interest rate hikes, under the high-profile campaign against inflation.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has indicated at the latest meeting that the central bank will not easily restart interest rate cuts, as U.S. inflation has continued to rebound in recent months. Under the pressure of high inflation, further rate cuts would normalize inflation, and if inflation becomes entrenched, the only solution would be to restart rate hikes. While President Trump verbally advocates for reducing inflation, his actual policies are significantly driving inflation higher. His rhetoric and actions are inconsistent; while he appears to oppose the Federal Reserve, in reality, his policies are aligning with the Fed's objectives.
Once Trump drives oil prices even lower, the U.S. dollar index will surge beyond expectations, reaching its highest level in years. The high U.S. dollar index will devastate the economies of southern countries, with currency devaluation and capital flight greatly benefiting the United States. As the dollar appreciates, the U.S. can obtain more imported goods for free, and a strong dollar can also weaken inflation.
Therefore, what Trump says is completely different from what is actually implemented, and the United States will continue to pursue the high-interest-rate policy of "low oil prices + strong dollar" without any changes.
In the capital market, once you buy into Trump's rhetoric, you are inevitably headed for trading and wealth losses.
03*
China and Russia join forces to attack Jiuyuan
This blood-drinking strategy, as mentioned many times in previous articles, emphasizes that to dismantle the geopolitical hegemony of the United States, it is essential for China and Russia to act in unison. With Russia currently prevailing in the war against Ukraine, if a treaty is signed within the year, a window of opportunity could emerge around the first half of this year.
On the day, month, and year a decade ago, Russia, NATO, and Ukraine signed the Minsk Agreement to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In the same month, China and Russia signed a multi-billion-dollar agreement for the Eastern Route natural gas pipeline. On the day and month, Putin attended China's military parade commemorating the victory in the War of Resistance. On the day and month, upon returning to his country, Putin deployed troops to Syria to combat internal terrorists. In the year and month, a military conflict erupted between China and the United States in the South China Sea, leading to the withdrawal of U.S. forces.
It seems we are back to that timeline, the year and month when Russia and the United States began negotiations in Saudi Arabia. According to the timeline, the China-Russia West Route natural gas pipeline will soon be finalized, with a total value of billions of dollars. On the day of the month, China will hold a military parade to commemorate the anniversary of the victory in the War of Resistance. By the end of the month, Russia will once again deploy troops to the Middle East. In the middle of the year, China may experience a second maritime friction in the South China Sea and the waters around Taiwan.
Unlike before, by mid-year, China will preliminarily achieve the initial goal of modernizing its military equipment, meaning that the frontline combat troops will have completed their re-equipment to match the standards of the U.S. military. A more extensive information-based combat system will be fully deployed, and the transition of the economy to a wartime footing will be initially completed. The cause of national reunification, prepared for nearly eighty years, will usher in the day of victory!
At the end of the article, Xueyin would like to mention how the Russia-Ukraine negotiations specifically impact the stock market, economy, and personal wealth. You can join Xueyin's Knowledge Planet below to directly communicate with the author and have strategies tailored to your personal needs. For comprehensive analysis and the latest insights during lectures, please join Xueyin's Knowledge Planet.
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