French left in weak position one year before presidential election
One year before the French presidential election, the left is threatened with absence from the second round for the third consecutive time, according to a poll published today by Le Parisien and conducted by Ipsos. Combined left-wing candidates would secure at most one-third of voting intentions in the configurations tested. The left remains split between the radical bloc around Jean-Luc Mélenchon and a fragmented moderate camp unable to unite.
One year before the French presidential election, the left is threatened with absence from the second round for the third consecutive time, according to a poll published today by Le Parisien and conducted by Ipsos. The left was absent from the second round 5 years ago and 10 years ago.
Combined left-wing candidates would secure at most one-third of voting intentions in the configurations tested by Ipsos. No candidate appears able to reach the final round. Even the two main figures, Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Raphaël Glucksmann, remain far from that threshold.
The left remains split between the radical bloc around Jean-Luc Mélenchon and a fragmented moderate camp unable to unite. The radical left, led by Mélenchon, has a solid electoral base but no prospect of victory due to a lack of allies and widespread rejection of the Insoumis leader in public opinion. The moderate left includes François Ruffin, Marine Tondelier, Clémentine Autain, Jérôme Guedj, François Hollande, Olivier Faure, and Bernard Cazeneuve. Raphaël Glucksmann has made his ability to unite the moderate left by the end of summer a condition of his candidacy.