According to a Xinhua News Agency report on [Month] [Day], Azerbaijani President Aliyev stated on [Day] that the Azerbaijani passenger plane that crashed in Kazakhstan was "unintentionally" shot down by Russia. Azerbaijan has made three demands to Russia, including an admission of fault and compensation. Aliyev said, "We can clearly say today that the passenger plane was shot down by Russia. This is a fact, and no one can deny it. Let me reiterate, we are not saying it was intentional, but it was shot down."

Recent news has been dominated by plane crashes, from Azerbaijan to South Korea, and from Canada to the Netherlands. What truths lie behind the frequent air disasters? This article will provide a comprehensive analysis of the issue.

【Azerbaijani Passenger Plane Crash】Based on comprehensive domestic and international media reports, Xueyin has identified two rather peculiar aspects of this incident:

Why Did the Aircraft Deviate to Azerbaijan? The plane, originally scheduled to fly to Russia, came under ground attack upon reaching the Grozny region in Russia's Chechnya in the Caucasus. For safety reasons, it could have simply returned to Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan. Instead, it veered off course to the northeast, entering Kazakh airspace—farther from Baku—and ultimately crashed in the Aktau region. This indicates that after the aircraft was struck in the tail near Grozny, its navigation was severely disrupted, leading to the deviation toward the northeast rather than returning to the closer Baku. So, who interfered with the passenger plane's navigation during its flight from Baku to Kazakhstan?

Did Aliyev intentionally point out that it was Russia that shot it down? On the [month and day], Putin also publicly apologized for the plane crash but simultaneously stated that it was unintentional. Aliyev similarly emphasized that Russia did not shoot it down on purpose. Apart from the mutual agreement between both parties, there is other evidence supporting the claim of an unintentional downing. The passenger plane was hit by Russia's Pantsir air defense system, which is designed to target low-altitude, slow-moving objects like drones. Clearly, it misidentified the passenger plane as a drone. If the intention was to deliberately shoot down a passenger plane, which has a larger radar cross-section and flies at a higher altitude than a drone, Russia could have simply used anti-aircraft missiles instead of resorting to the Pantsir system.

【Who Had the Means to Commit the Crime】 Navigation interference + unintentional downing of the passenger plane—combining these two points, the perpetrator becomes glaringly obvious. On [date], Ukrainian drones attacked the elite guard camp of Kadyrov in Grozny, the capital of Chechnya, the very location of the incident. Kadyrov was furious and vowed retaliation. This news indicates that it was precisely the Ukrainian drone strike on Grozny that prompted Russian forces to enhance air defense operations in the region, leading to the Russian-deployed Pantsir system mistakenly identifying the low-altitude descending passenger plane as a drone and shooting it down. After the crash, Ukraine and the U.S. were the first to accuse Russia of intentionally downing the plane. In reality, it was the Ukrainian Nazis and their NATO backers who expanded the battlefield to Grozny, making the airspace in the region unsafe. They are the saboteurs of the area's airspace security, while both Russia and Azerbaijan are victims. Technically, apart from Russia, the countries capable of interfering with navigation and conducting drone operations in this region include the U.S. and Israel, Ukraine's allies. The U.S. military has a base in Baku, the plane's departure point. On [date], the day Iranian President Raisi's fatal crash occurred, the U.S. military's strategic transport aircraft took off from Baku. Similarly, Israel maintains a drone and intelligence center in Baku. Previously, Israel launched numerous drones from Baku to strike targets inside Iran. With the support of the Baku base, the U.S., as the operator, could easily interfere with the passenger plane's navigation. Israel, leveraging its large drone command center, could also effortlessly mislead the aircraft into being misidentified. Geographically, Baku is deep in the Caspian Sea, where the U.S. and Israel have established military bases and intelligence centers, enabling them to conveniently interfere with any aircraft in the region's airspace. Moreover, the U.S., Israel, and Ukraine have long been hostile toward Russia. Therefore, from the perspectives of means and motive, the U.S. and Israel—with both the capability and intent to interfere with the plane's navigation during its flight from Grozny to Aktau, Kazakhstan—are highly suspect.

【Who Has a Long History of Wrongdoing】If it wasn't Russia that intentionally shot it down, then if the U.S. and Israel were behind this, how exactly was it carried out? The tactic of inducing misjudgment has been used repeatedly by the U.S. and Israel. The specific method of framing involves leveraging the agility of unmanned drones and their relatively larger radar cross-section compared to passenger planes. The drone approaches the passenger aircraft, actively provokes the enemy's air defense system to fire at its location, then swiftly withdraws, ultimately leading to the downing of the target. Examples of this tactic are not uncommon: 1. On the night of [date], Israeli fighter jets attacked targets at Syria’s Hmeimim Air Base. The Israeli pilots deliberately flew into the airspace of a Russian IL-20 electronic reconnaissance aircraft as it was returning to land at its military base runway, luring Syrian air defense missiles to fire and shoot down the plane, which carried [number] officers and soldiers. This incident exploited the slow reaction time of Syrian air defenses and the low-speed descent of the IL-20, cleverly overlapping the Israeli fighter’s target with the IL-20’s position to trick Syrian missiles into hitting the Russian aircraft. 2. On [date], according to Iran’s official Fars News Agency, Israeli fighter jets flew over southern Lebanon on [date]. Since a Qatar Airways passenger plane was also in the same airspace, the Israeli jets hid behind the Qatari airliner as a shield to evade Syrian air defense strikes. Israel took advantage of the Russian-Syrian coalition’s fear of accidentally hitting civilian aircraft, brazenly and shamelessly using international flights as cover while attacking high-value Syrian air defense positions. This act completely disregarded the lives of passengers on board, displaying the same madness as Japanese militarism. 3. On [date], Iran shot down a U.S. Global Hawk drone over the Persian Gulf. According to U.S. reports, when the American drone entered Iranian airspace, a Qatar Airways passenger flight was nearby—close enough for the airliner to fall within the missile’s engagement zone. Since the Qatari plane was a much larger target than the drone, the Iranian missile was more likely to hit the passenger flight. The U.S. dared to send the Global Hawk into Iranian airspace for spy missions, gambling that Iran wouldn’t fire—or tricking it into shooting down the Qatari airliner. This despicable tactic mirrors Israel’s methods. 4. On [date], according to *Global Times*, a U.S. RC-135 electronic reconnaissance aircraft with the transponder code [code] disguised itself as a Malaysian civilian airliner with the code [code] and entered the South China Sea via the Bashi Channel. On [date], the same U.S. reconnaissance plane took off from Kadena Air Base for another mission in the South China Sea, this time masquerading as a Malaysian airliner with the code [code]. It conducted intensive flight operations between Hainan Island and the Paracel Islands. Clearly, the U.S. military was attempting to trick the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Air Force into shooting down its spy plane, then frame China for downing a Malaysian passenger jet. This would not only whitewash the U.S. military’s stain from the [year] MH17 incident but also shift blame to China—just as the U.S. released the COVID-19 virus and then blamed Wuhan. Time and again, facts have proven that the U.S. and Israel are the world’s largest and most evil terrorists. When Zionist beasts control the world’s most powerful intelligence, propaganda, and military machinery, they will stop at nothing to crush their opponents. Calling them beasts is almost an insult to actual beasts! Currently, the drone tactics used by terrorists in Syria to attack Russian bases are being transferred to Ukraine by NATO instructors. Ukraine, in turn, upgrades these drone and ground assault tactics before passing them back to terrorists. Israel acts as the middleman in this technology transfer between terrorists and Ukrainian Nazi forces. This shows that NATO is rapidly disseminating the latest battlefield tactics across multiple fronts. Understanding their habitual framing methods, let’s revisit the incident of Russia shooting down the Azerbaijani airliner. Bloodbath believes this was a hat-trick conspiracy by Ukraine, the U.S., and Israel to frame Russia. The process unfolded as follows: With Israeli support, Ukraine first launched drones to attack Grozny, tricking Russia into deploying Pantsir anti-drone systems. Then, as the Azerbaijani passenger plane descended at low speed and altitude, a drone infiltrated its flight path, exploiting the timing to deceive the Pantsir into targeting the airliner. After the accidental strike, the passenger jet was further disrupted by U.S. and Israeli navigation interference, preventing it from returning to Baku and instead diverting it toward western Kazakhstan, where it ultimately crashed during landing. After the incident, Biden and Zelensky immediately blamed Russia—a classic move of launching a media offensive right after a tactical success.

【What is the Purpose of Sowing Discord?】 The U.S. and Israel lured Russia into shooting down an Azerbaijani plane, naturally to sow discord—just as they previously incited tensions between Iran and Qatar, Syria and Russia, and China and Malaysia—all to achieve specific objectives. Stirring conflict between Iran and Qatar was because the two countries share the world's largest natural gas field, the South Pars/North Dome field. If they turned against each other, joint development would inevitably stall, cutting off the source of the Shia pipeline. Provoking a rift between Syria and Russia was clearly due to Russia's consistent support for Syria in combating Israeli-backed terrorists. If the two grew estranged, isolated Syria would be devoured, and Russia would lose its military foothold on the eastern Mediterranean coast. Inciting tensions between China and Malaysia was because Malaysia has long maintained an anti-American stance and enjoyed friendly relations with China. If the two nations turned hostile, the Southeast Asian country most supportive of China's South China Sea code of conduct would oppose China, severely undermining our efforts to stabilize the South China Sea and expel U.S. influence in the region. So, why is the U.S. so keen on driving a wedge between Russia and Azerbaijan? Azerbaijan is the core of Caspian energy. Its territory extends deep into the Caspian Sea, and controlling Baku means grasping the lifeline of the entire Caspian energy development. After orchestrating regime change in Syria, the U.S. gained control over eastern Mediterranean energy development, and by backing Ukraine, it aims to extend its influence further.