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Security Council Monthly Forecast Report

Covering security dynamics in multiple countries, progress in peacekeeping operations, and global governance issues, it analyzes the core agenda of the Security Council and geopolitical strategies.

Detail

Published

23/12/2025

Key Chapter Title List

  1. Overview
  2. Review: The 2025 Peacebuilding Architecture Review
  3. Latest Developments Since the January Forecast
  4. Situation in Syria
  5. Situation in South Sudan
  6. United Nations Regional Centre for Preventive Diplomacy for Central Asia (UNRCCA)
  7. Situation in Sudan
  8. Situation in Yemen
  9. Multilateralism
  10. Situation in Libya
  11. Situation in the Central African Republic
  12. Matters Related to the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK)

Document Introduction

This report is the February 2025 Monthly Forecast issued by the Security Council. It focuses on the Council's core agenda for the month and key regional security dynamics worldwide, providing an authoritative reference for practitioners in the fields of international politics and security. In February 2025, China holds the rotating presidency of the Security Council and will chair an open debate themed on practicing multilateralism and reforming and improving global governance. UN Secretary-General António Guterres will attend to provide a briefing, making this a flagship event for the month.

The report has a clear structure. It reviews the formal initiation process of the 2025 Peacebuilding Architecture Review (PBAR), outlining its four evolutions and core issues since 2005. It also updates the latest security developments in regions such as the Middle East, Ukraine, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo since the January forecast, including outcomes of relevant Council meetings and key points from closed consultations.

Regarding regional issue coverage, the report provides a detailed analysis of the political processes, military dynamics, and humanitarian situations in hotspot countries like Syria, South Sudan, Sudan, Yemen, and Libya. It focuses on the renewal of relevant sanction mechanisms, the implementation of peacekeeping mission mandates, and the impact of regional power dynamics. Simultaneously, it systematically elaborates on the arrangements and background for issues such as preventive diplomacy in Central Asia, the work of the DPRK Sanctions Committee, and counter-terrorism sanctions in Somalia.

Based on authoritative information sources such as Security Council resolution documents, Secretary-General's reports, and records of thematic briefings, the report objectively presents the consensus and differences among Security Council member states on issues including the practice of multilateralism, sanction policies, and peacekeeping operations. It offers a deep analytical perspective for understanding the current state and future trends of global security governance, holding significant reference value for policy formulation, academic research, and strategic analysis.