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Turkey leans on regional clout as its economy slows under the Iran war

Turkey's economy grew 2.5 percent in the first quarter, its slowest in over a year, as the Iran war lifted energy costs and pushed inflation above 32 percent; the central bank raised its 2026 inflation target to 24 percent. Even so, Ankara projected regional weight: intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin met Hamas leaders on the Gaza ceasefire, and Erdogan announced gas exports to Syria and a new Turkey-Azerbaijan-Georgia-Bulgaria power corridor. Erdogan denied any government hand in the opposition CHP's court-ordered turmoil, as floods across nine provinces drew a 13,000-strong emergency response.

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Turkey's GDP growth slows to 2.5% in the first quarter as the Iran war lifts energy costs

Turkey's economy grew 2.5 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, down from 3.4 percent in the previous quarter, as the US-Israel war on Iran drove up energy prices and revived inflation, official TurkStat data showed. Industry contracted 0.8 percent and exports fell 12.7 percent, while agriculture and services supported growth; Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek noted 23 consecutive quarters of expansion and national income above $1.6 trillion. The central bank has raised its end-2026 inflation target to 24 percent from 16 percent, with April prices up 32.4 percent year-on-year.

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Erdoğan denies government role in CHP internal dispute after court annuls congress results

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on Monday said the government has no involvement in the ongoing political and legal disputes within the main opposition Republican People's Party (CHP). Speaking after a Cabinet meeting in Ankara, Erdoğan stated the ruling alliance remains focused on serving the nation and building a brighter future for Türkiye. A court ruling last month annulled the CHP's 2023 congress results and reinstated former Chairman Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu as chair, deepening tensions within the party.

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Turkish intelligence chief meets Hamas leaders in Ankara to discuss Gaza ceasefire

Turkish National Intelligence Organization (MIT) chief Ibrahim Kalın met with senior Hamas officials in Ankara on Monday to discuss the next phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement and efforts to secure a lasting truce, security sources said. Hamas representatives said they had complied with the ceasefire terms and briefed Kalın on what they described as Israeli violations. A separate Hamas delegation is due to meet mediators in Egypt on Wednesday to advance the fragile truce.

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Turkey and Azerbaijan launch gas exports to Syria, announce new energy corridor plans

Turkey and Azerbaijan have launched natural gas exports to Syria, with initial flows of 1.2 billion cubic meters annually, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said Monday. The gas, transported from the Shah Deniz field via Turkey, is being used to restart power plants and meet basic energy needs in conflict-affected areas. Erdoğan also announced plans for a new electricity transmission corridor linking Turkey, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Bulgaria, which he described as the "electricity version of TANAP."

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Every other event tracked in Turkey, with a one-line preview.

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Türkiye condemns Israeli extremist group's raid on Al-Aqsa Mosque

Türkiye condemned a raid by Israeli extremist groups on the Al-Aqsa Mosque under Israeli security protection, including provocative actions such as raising the Israeli flag and singing the national anthem. The Foreign Ministry warned that such actions violate international law and risk deepening regional instability, calling for increased international pressure on Israel. On 1 June 2026, Türkiye reiterated its condemnation of the raid, with the Foreign Ministry again warning that such actions violate international law and risk deepening regional instability, and calling for increased international pressure on Israel.

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Türkiye condemned a raid by Israeli extremist groups on the Al-Aqsa Mosque under Israeli security protection, including provocative actions such as raising the Israeli flag and singing the national anthem. The Foreign Ministry warned that such actions violate international law and risk deepening regional instability, calling for increased international pressure on Israel. On 1 June 2026, Türkiye reiterated its condemnation of the raid, with the Foreign Ministry again warning that such actions violate international law and risk deepening regional instability, and calling for increased international pressure on Israel.

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AFAD deploys over 13,000 personnel for widespread floods and landslides across Turkey

Turkey's Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD) had been conducting flood response operations since May 2026. Between May 21-31, 2026, AFAD deployed 13,342 personnel and 5,656 vehicles and heavy machinery to respond to 110 landslide and rockfall incidents across provinces including Tokat, Trabzon, Osmaniye, Giresun, Hatay, Gümüşhane, Niğde, Erzurum, and Afyonkarahisar, damaging 67 homes and one barn. Floods and overflows also occurred in Hatay, Tokat, Amasya, Nevşehir, Ordu, Çorum, Konya, Ankara, Eskişehir, Karabük, Adıyaman, Kırşehir, Bursa, Erzurum, Artvin, Çankırı, Kütahya, Bolu, Aksaray, Edirne, Osmaniye, Giresun, Rize, and Bilecik. Response involved police, gendarmerie, health services, fire departments, highways authorities, provincial special administrations, DSİ, and municipalities. Recovery efforts including cleaning of affected homes and workplaces are ongoing with AFAD Volunteers.

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Turkey's Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD) had been conducting flood response operations since May 2026. Between May 21-31, 2026, AFAD deployed 13,342 personnel and 5,656 vehicles and heavy machinery to respond to 110 landslide and rockfall incidents across provinces including Tokat, Trabzon, Osmaniye, Giresun, Hatay, Gümüşhane, Niğde, Erzurum, and Afyonkarahisar, damaging 67 homes and one barn. Floods and overflows also occurred in Hatay, Tokat, Amasya, Nevşehir, Ordu, Çorum, Konya, Ankara, Eskişehir, Karabük, Adıyaman, Kırşehir, Bursa, Erzurum, Artvin, Çankırı, Kütahya, Bolu, Aksaray, Edirne, Osmaniye, Giresun, Rize, and Bilecik. Response involved police, gendarmerie, health services, fire departments, highways authorities, provincial special administrations, DSİ, and municipalities. Recovery efforts including cleaning of affected homes and workplaces are ongoing with AFAD Volunteers.

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Turkey's manufacturing PMI rises to 49.8 in May, highest since March 2024, as export orders return to growth

Turkey's manufacturing sector showed signs of stabilization in May 2026 after a sharp contraction in April driven by the Iran war. The Istanbul Chamber of Industry PMI rose to 49.8 from 45.7, the highest since March 2024. Output returned to growth and export orders increased for the first time in 21 months, though total new business remained subdued due to uncertainty, higher prices, and the ongoing conflict. Input costs continued to rise sharply and supply-chain delays persisted, but firms increased purchasing activity for the first time in over two years to build safety stocks. Employment fell at the slowest pace in 2026.

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Turkey's manufacturing sector showed signs of stabilization in May 2026 after a sharp contraction in April driven by the Iran war. The Istanbul Chamber of Industry PMI rose to 49.8 from 45.7, the highest since March 2024. Output returned to growth and export orders increased for the first time in 21 months, though total new business remained subdued due to uncertainty, higher prices, and the ongoing conflict. Input costs continued to rise sharply and supply-chain delays persisted, but firms increased purchasing activity for the first time in over two years to build safety stocks. Employment fell at the slowest pace in 2026.

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Turkey's BOTAŞ signs 15-year gas supply deal with Azerbaijan's Absheron field

Turkey's state energy company BOTAŞ, alongside SOCAR, TotalEnergies, and ADNOC, signed a 15-year agreement to supply 33 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Azerbaijan's Absheron field starting in 2029. The deal supports Turkey's energy hub ambitions and regional energy security, with a final investment decision for the second phase expected this year.

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Turkey's state energy company BOTAŞ, alongside SOCAR, TotalEnergies, and ADNOC, signed a 15-year agreement to supply 33 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Azerbaijan's Absheron field starting in 2029. The deal supports Turkey's energy hub ambitions and regional energy security, with a final investment decision for the second phase expected this year.

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Kirkuk Governor Visits Turkey, Praises Erdoğan's Policies and Discusses Development Projects

Background: Following the election of Turkmen-origin governor Mehmet Seman Ağaoğlu in Kirkuk under a rotational model with the PUK, analysts suggested Turkmen political gains could expand to the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Today: Kirkuk Governor Mohammed Samaan Agha visited Turkey's AK Party in Ankara, praising President Erdoğan's regional policies for enabling the election of a Turkmen governor in Kirkuk for the first time in decades. During the meeting with AK Party deputy chair Kürşad Zorlu, discussions focused on infrastructure projects, strengthening public services, and Kirkuk's potential membership in the Union of Turkic World Municipalities. The Development Road Project was also highlighted as a key bilateral initiative. Agha emphasized that Turkey's strong foreign policy and support were instrumental in his election, and he reaffirmed commitment to Iraq's territorial integrity and cooperation with Turkey.

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Background: Following the election of Turkmen-origin governor Mehmet Seman Ağaoğlu in Kirkuk under a rotational model with the PUK, analysts suggested Turkmen political gains could expand to the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Today: Kirkuk Governor Mohammed Samaan Agha visited Turkey's AK Party in Ankara, praising President Erdoğan's regional policies for enabling the election of a Turkmen governor in Kirkuk for the first time in decades. During the meeting with AK Party deputy chair Kürşad Zorlu, discussions focused on infrastructure projects, strengthening public services, and Kirkuk's potential membership in the Union of Turkic World Municipalities. The Development Road Project was also highlighted as a key bilateral initiative. Agha emphasized that Turkey's strong foreign policy and support were instrumental in his election, and he reaffirmed commitment to Iraq's territorial integrity and cooperation with Turkey.

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Kılıçdaroğlu unlikely to attend CHP group meeting, says ally Kuşoğlu

Bülent Kuşoğlu, a close ally of former CHP leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, said Kılıçdaroğlu is unlikely to attend the CHP parliamentary group meeting on June 2, 2025, convened by current leader Özgür Özel, citing a desire to avoid new tensions. This follows Kılıçdaroğlu's earlier letter to the Turkish Grand National Assembly presidency challenging Özel's authority to speak at the meeting. Kuşoğlu also indicated Kılıçdaroğlu may be flexible on the party's future presidential candidate, potentially supporting Mansur Yavaş or Özgür Özel, but emphasized that decisions should come after the party congress.

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Bülent Kuşoğlu, a close ally of former CHP leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, said Kılıçdaroğlu is unlikely to attend the CHP parliamentary group meeting on June 2, 2025, convened by current leader Özgür Özel, citing a desire to avoid new tensions. This follows Kılıçdaroğlu's earlier letter to the Turkish Grand National Assembly presidency challenging Özel's authority to speak at the meeting. Kuşoğlu also indicated Kılıçdaroğlu may be flexible on the party's future presidential candidate, potentially supporting Mansur Yavaş or Özgür Özel, but emphasized that decisions should come after the party congress.

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NATO summit in Ankara criticized as bowing to Erdogan amid democratic backsliding

Background: The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara was previously confirmed for July 7-8, with Turkey positioning itself as a key ally amid transatlantic tensions. Today's development: A new article criticizes the decision to hold the summit in President Erdogan's palace, arguing it represents a bow to his autocratic rule. Erdogan is cracking down on the opposition CHP party, jailing its presidential candidate Ekrem Imamoglu and removing party leader Ozgur Ozel. The alliance is seen as prioritizing strategic interests—Turkey's control of the Bosporus and its denial of Russian warships during the Ukraine war—over its democratic principles, highlighting NATO's weakness and disorientation. The piece notes that in 2018, a majority of member states rejected Erdogan's request for a summit in Turkey due to his crackdown on the HDP, but this year the calculation shifted to lure U.S. President Trump, who is seen as friendly to Erdogan.

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Background: The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara was previously confirmed for July 7-8, with Turkey positioning itself as a key ally amid transatlantic tensions. Today's development: A new article criticizes the decision to hold the summit in President Erdogan's palace, arguing it represents a bow to his autocratic rule. Erdogan is cracking down on the opposition CHP party, jailing its presidential candidate Ekrem Imamoglu and removing party leader Ozgur Ozel. The alliance is seen as prioritizing strategic interests—Turkey's control of the Bosporus and its denial of Russian warships during the Ukraine war—over its democratic principles, highlighting NATO's weakness and disorientation. The piece notes that in 2018, a majority of member states rejected Erdogan's request for a summit in Turkey due to his crackdown on the HDP, but this year the calculation shifted to lure U.S. President Trump, who is seen as friendly to Erdogan.

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China and Türkiye enter new phase of strategic cooperation, envoy says

China's ambassador to Ankara stated that bilateral relations with Türkiye have entered a new period of strategic opportunity, with plans to further align the Belt and Road Initiative with Türkiye's Middle Corridor project and expand cooperation in renewable energy, 5G, and biomedicine. The announcement highlights growing political trust, trade growth to nearly $50 billion, and recent visa-free travel for Chinese citizens.

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China's ambassador to Ankara stated that bilateral relations with Türkiye have entered a new period of strategic opportunity, with plans to further align the Belt and Road Initiative with Türkiye's Middle Corridor project and expand cooperation in renewable energy, 5G, and biomedicine. The announcement highlights growing political trust, trade growth to nearly $50 billion, and recent visa-free travel for Chinese citizens.

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Turkey and Vatican align on peace efforts, says Turkish ambassador

Turkish Ambassador to the Vatican Fahrettin Altun stated that Turkey and the Vatican share largely overlapping views on major international issues, particularly Middle East peace and global conflict resolution. He highlighted growing cooperation following Pope Leo XIV's visit to Turkey and noted alignment on opposing disinformation, racism, and religious hatred. Altun emphasized that both sides support a rules-based international order and complement each other's mediation efforts in conflicts like Ukraine.

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Turkish Ambassador to the Vatican Fahrettin Altun stated that Turkey and the Vatican share largely overlapping views on major international issues, particularly Middle East peace and global conflict resolution. He highlighted growing cooperation following Pope Leo XIV's visit to Turkey and noted alignment on opposing disinformation, racism, and religious hatred. Altun emphasized that both sides support a rules-based international order and complement each other's mediation efforts in conflicts like Ukraine.

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Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan visits Singapore for high-level talks

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan will make an official visit to Singapore on June 2, 2026, his first to the city-state. He is scheduled to meet Prime Minister Lawrence Wong, Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan, and Home Affairs Minister K. Shanmugam. Talks will focus on expanding bilateral trade under the 2015 Free Trade Agreement, deepening defense industry cooperation, and exploring partnerships in renewable energy, electric vehicles, semiconductors, AI, and fintech. Fidan will also deliver the IISS Raffles Lecture on Turkey's foreign policy amid global volatility, and discuss regional issues including the Russia-Ukraine war, Palestine, Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, Syria, and the South China Sea. The visit underscores Turkey's push to upgrade its ties with ASEAN from Sectoral Dialogue Partner to full Dialogue Partner.

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Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan will make an official visit to Singapore on June 2, 2026, his first to the city-state. He is scheduled to meet Prime Minister Lawrence Wong, Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan, and Home Affairs Minister K. Shanmugam. Talks will focus on expanding bilateral trade under the 2015 Free Trade Agreement, deepening defense industry cooperation, and exploring partnerships in renewable energy, electric vehicles, semiconductors, AI, and fintech. Fidan will also deliver the IISS Raffles Lecture on Turkey's foreign policy amid global volatility, and discuss regional issues including the Russia-Ukraine war, Palestine, Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, Syria, and the South China Sea. The visit underscores Turkey's push to upgrade its ties with ASEAN from Sectoral Dialogue Partner to full Dialogue Partner.

Frequently Asked

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How much did Turkey's economy grow in Q1 2026?
Turkey's economy grew 2.5 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, down from 3.4 percent and below forecasts.
What caused Turkey's economic slowdown in early 2026?
The US-Israel war on Iran sent energy prices soaring and revived inflation, with industry contracting 0.8 percent and exports falling 12.7 percent.
What is Turkey's role in the Gaza ceasefire?
Turkey is one of four guarantors of the Gaza ceasefire alongside Egypt, Qatar and the United States. Intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin met Hamas officials in Ankara to discuss the truce's next phase.
What energy projects did Turkey announce in 2026?
Turkey launched Turkish-Azerbaijani natural-gas exports to Syria (1.2 billion cubic metres per year) and unveiled plans for an electricity corridor linking Turkey, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Bulgaria.
What was Turkey's inflation rate in April 2026?
Consumer prices were up 32.4 percent in April 2026, prompting the central bank to raise its end-2026 inflation target to 24 percent from 16 percent.