FOMC policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day, followed by a 2:30pm Chair press conference. No new economic projections at this meeting.
Upcoming
28 key official events aheadFirst (advance) estimate of second-quarter 2026 real GDP growth from the BEA, 8:30am ET.
BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for July 2026, 8:30am ET.
BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for August 2026, 8:30am ET, ahead of the mid-September Fed meeting.
BLS Consumer Price Index for August 2026, 8:30am ET — last CPI print before the September Fed decision.
FOMC policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day, with an updated Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot) and a 2:30pm Chair press conference.
Third (final) estimate of Q2 2026 GDP plus corporate profits and state-level data, 8:30am ET.
BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for September 2026, 8:30am ET.
BLS Consumer Price Index for September 2026, 8:30am ET.
FOMC policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day, followed by a 2:30pm Chair press conference. No new economic projections at this meeting.
First (advance) estimate of third-quarter 2026 real GDP growth from the BEA, 8:30am ET.
All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats are contested (including Florida and Ohio special elections), alongside 36 governorships. Determines control of the 120th Congress.
BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for October 2026, 8:30am ET.
Second estimate of Q3 2026 GDP plus corporate profits, 8:30am ET.
BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for November 2026, 8:30am ET, ahead of the December Fed meeting.
Final FOMC meeting of 2026; policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second day, with an updated Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot) and a 2:30pm Chair press conference.
United States hosts the G20 leaders' summit December 14–15 at Trump National Doral, Miami, capping the US G20 presidency year.
BLS Consumer Price Index for November 2026, 8:30am ET. Released later than the usual mid-month slot under the revised 2026 schedule.
Third (final) estimate of Q3 2026 GDP plus corporate profits and state-level data, 8:30am ET.
BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for December 2026, with annual benchmark revisions. (Provisional — exact 2027 monthly date not yet published by BLS.)
BLS Consumer Price Index for December 2026, completing the 2026 inflation picture. (Provisional — exact 2027 monthly date not yet published by BLS.)
First FOMC decision of 2027 (tentative schedule announced Sept 2025); policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day with a 2:30pm Chair press conference.
First (advance) estimate of fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 GDP. (Provisional — exact 2027 date not yet published by BEA; date estimated from the usual late-January cadence.)
2027 FOMC decision (tentative schedule); statement at 2:00pm ET on the second day with an updated Summary of Economic Projections and a 2:30pm Chair press conference.
2027 FOMC decision (tentative schedule); policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day with a 2:30pm Chair press conference.
2027 FOMC decision (tentative schedule); statement at 2:00pm ET on the second day with an updated Summary of Economic Projections and a 2:30pm Chair press conference.
Recent events
us49Trump accuses China of election meddling, declassifies intelligence documents in primetime address
US President Donald Trump delivered a primetime address from the White House, accusing China of carrying out the largest compromise of election data in history, obtaining 220 million US voter files. He alleged a cover-up by US intelligence agencies, claiming CIA and NSA reports were withheld from his daily briefings. Trump ordered the Director of National Intelligence and FBI to investigate and called for passage of the SAVE America Act to impose voter ID requirements and restrict mail-in voting. Democratic leaders rejected the proposals, and Fox News noted it could not verify Trump's claims. The speech occurred amid ongoing US military strikes against Iran.
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Trump accuses China of election meddling, declassifies intelligence documents in primetime address
US President Donald Trump delivered a primetime address from the White House, accusing China of carrying out the largest compromise of election data in history, obtaining 220 million US voter files. He alleged a cover-up by US intelligence agencies, claiming CIA and NSA reports were withheld from his daily briefings. Trump ordered the Director of National Intelligence and FBI to investigate and called for passage of the SAVE America Act to impose voter ID requirements and restrict mail-in voting. Democratic leaders rejected the proposals, and Fox News noted it could not verify Trump's claims. The speech occurred amid ongoing US military strikes against Iran.
US President Donald Trump delivered a primetime address from the White House, accusing China of carrying out the largest compromise of election data in history, obtaining 220 million US voter files. He alleged a cover-up by US intelligence agencies, claiming CIA and NSA reports were withheld from his daily briefings. Trump ordered the Director of National Intelligence and FBI to investigate and called for passage of the SAVE America Act to impose voter ID requirements and restrict mail-in voting. Democratic leaders rejected the proposals, and Fox News noted it could not verify Trump's claims. The speech occurred amid ongoing US military strikes against Iran.
us49Strait of Hormuz crisis deepens as US-Iran ceasefire collapses
Background: Oil markets have been volatile amid the US-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz blockade, with analysts warning of critically low inventory levels and potential Brent crude prices reaching $130-$140 per barrel. New development: The US-Iran ceasefire has collapsed, with the US reinstating a naval blockade and Iran retaining the ability to attack commercial shipping. Oil prices surged 10% since Sunday, and Houthis have claimed attacks on Saudi infrastructure, threatening Bab el-Mandeb transit. Analysts now warn of potential $150/barrel oil and worsening energy market disruptions, with no breakthrough in sight.
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Strait of Hormuz crisis deepens as US-Iran ceasefire collapses
Background: Oil markets have been volatile amid the US-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz blockade, with analysts warning of critically low inventory levels and potential Brent crude prices reaching $130-$140 per barrel. New development: The US-Iran ceasefire has collapsed, with the US reinstating a naval blockade and Iran retaining the ability to attack commercial shipping. Oil prices surged 10% since Sunday, and Houthis have claimed attacks on Saudi infrastructure, threatening Bab el-Mandeb transit. Analysts now warn of potential $150/barrel oil and worsening energy market disruptions, with no breakthrough in sight.
Background: Oil markets have been volatile amid the US-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz blockade, with analysts warning of critically low inventory levels and potential Brent crude prices reaching $130-$140 per barrel. New development: The US-Iran ceasefire has collapsed, with the US reinstating a naval blockade and Iran retaining the ability to attack commercial shipping. Oil prices surged 10% since Sunday, and Houthis have claimed attacks on Saudi infrastructure, threatening Bab el-Mandeb transit. Analysts now warn of potential $150/barrel oil and worsening energy market disruptions, with no breakthrough in sight.
us48U.S. Navy Deploys Over 20 Warships to Enforce Renewed Blockade on Iran
Background: The U.S. has enforced a naval blockade of Iranian ports since April 13, 2026, using over 20 warships and has disabled multiple Iranian-flagged tankers attempting to breach it. In a new development, the U.S. Navy has deployed over 20 warships, including two carrier strike groups (USS Abraham Lincoln and USS George H.W. Bush) and two amphibious ready groups (Boxer ARG with 11th MEU and Tripoli ARG), to enforce a renewed blockade on Iranian ports in the Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean. Additional assets include seven independently deployed destroyers, a cruiser, a littoral combat ship, an expeditionary sea base, and at least two fast-attack submarines. CENTCOM reported that in the first 24 hours, two commercial vessels were redirected and one was kinetically disabled. The blockade applies to all traffic regardless of flag but does not impede neutral transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The force posture mirrors the previous blockade, which was lifted in June after the Islamabad MOU, but forces never left the region.
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U.S. Navy Deploys Over 20 Warships to Enforce Renewed Blockade on Iran
Background: The U.S. has enforced a naval blockade of Iranian ports since April 13, 2026, using over 20 warships and has disabled multiple Iranian-flagged tankers attempting to breach it. In a new development, the U.S. Navy has deployed over 20 warships, including two carrier strike groups (USS Abraham Lincoln and USS George H.W. Bush) and two amphibious ready groups (Boxer ARG with 11th MEU and Tripoli ARG), to enforce a renewed blockade on Iranian ports in the Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean. Additional assets include seven independently deployed destroyers, a cruiser, a littoral combat ship, an expeditionary sea base, and at least two fast-attack submarines. CENTCOM reported that in the first 24 hours, two commercial vessels were redirected and one was kinetically disabled. The blockade applies to all traffic regardless of flag but does not impede neutral transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The force posture mirrors the previous blockade, which was lifted in June after the Islamabad MOU, but forces never left the region.
Background: The U.S. has enforced a naval blockade of Iranian ports since April 13, 2026, using over 20 warships and has disabled multiple Iranian-flagged tankers attempting to breach it. In a new development, the U.S. Navy has deployed over 20 warships, including two carrier strike groups (USS Abraham Lincoln and USS George H.W. Bush) and two amphibious ready groups (Boxer ARG with 11th MEU and Tripoli ARG), to enforce a renewed blockade on Iranian ports in the Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean. Additional assets include seven independently deployed destroyers, a cruiser, a littoral combat ship, an expeditionary sea base, and at least two fast-attack submarines. CENTCOM reported that in the first 24 hours, two commercial vessels were redirected and one was kinetically disabled. The blockade applies to all traffic regardless of flag but does not impede neutral transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The force posture mirrors the previous blockade, which was lifted in June after the Islamabad MOU, but forces never left the region.
us48Trump confirms US investigating reports of Iranian drones and missiles in Cuba
Background: Classified US intelligence indicated Cuba has acquired over 300 attack drones from Russia and Iran since 2023, with internal discussions about potential use against US targets including Guantanamo Bay, US Navy ships, and Key West. President Trump confirmed from the Oval Office that the US is investigating reports of Iranian drones and possibly missiles stored in Cuba, warning that Washington will act if confirmed. He offered no proof or details. The claim follows an Axios analysis cited by multiple outlets stating Cuba has incorporated over 300 military drones of Russian and Iranian origin since 2023, and that the Revolutionary Armed Forces are studying possible use against US targets such as Guantanamo Bay or Key West. The State Department simultaneously designated 10 Cuban entities linked to fuel trade and other sectors as part of curbing 'malign activities' of the Cuban regime, adding to existing sanctions.
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Trump confirms US investigating reports of Iranian drones and missiles in Cuba
Background: Classified US intelligence indicated Cuba has acquired over 300 attack drones from Russia and Iran since 2023, with internal discussions about potential use against US targets including Guantanamo Bay, US Navy ships, and Key West. President Trump confirmed from the Oval Office that the US is investigating reports of Iranian drones and possibly missiles stored in Cuba, warning that Washington will act if confirmed. He offered no proof or details. The claim follows an Axios analysis cited by multiple outlets stating Cuba has incorporated over 300 military drones of Russian and Iranian origin since 2023, and that the Revolutionary Armed Forces are studying possible use against US targets such as Guantanamo Bay or Key West. The State Department simultaneously designated 10 Cuban entities linked to fuel trade and other sectors as part of curbing 'malign activities' of the Cuban regime, adding to existing sanctions.
Background: Classified US intelligence indicated Cuba has acquired over 300 attack drones from Russia and Iran since 2023, with internal discussions about potential use against US targets including Guantanamo Bay, US Navy ships, and Key West. President Trump confirmed from the Oval Office that the US is investigating reports of Iranian drones and possibly missiles stored in Cuba, warning that Washington will act if confirmed. He offered no proof or details. The claim follows an Axios analysis cited by multiple outlets stating Cuba has incorporated over 300 military drones of Russian and Iranian origin since 2023, and that the Revolutionary Armed Forces are studying possible use against US targets such as Guantanamo Bay or Key West. The State Department simultaneously designated 10 Cuban entities linked to fuel trade and other sectors as part of curbing 'malign activities' of the Cuban regime, adding to existing sanctions.
us46US Reinstates Iranian Blockade; Three Aircraft Carriers Deployed in Middle East
Background: The US had lifted its naval blockade of Iranian ports following the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, but the ceasefire deal has collapsed. Today: President Trump announced the reinstatement of the Iranian blockade effective July 14, with CENTCOM forces enforcing it against vessels transiting to or from Iranian ports. Over 20 U.S. Navy ships, including three aircraft carriers (USS Abraham Lincoln, USS George H.W. Bush) and amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli, are operating in the Middle East. USS Theodore Roosevelt is participating in RIMPAC 2026, and USS Nimitz completed a homeport shift to Norfolk. The blockade aims to pressure Iran into a nuclear deal, with talks mediated by Pakistan ongoing. US forces have disabled multiple Iranian-flagged tankers attempting to breach the blockade, and Iran has seized a tanker and established a toll authority for the Strait of Hormuz.
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US Reinstates Iranian Blockade; Three Aircraft Carriers Deployed in Middle East
Background: The US had lifted its naval blockade of Iranian ports following the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, but the ceasefire deal has collapsed. Today: President Trump announced the reinstatement of the Iranian blockade effective July 14, with CENTCOM forces enforcing it against vessels transiting to or from Iranian ports. Over 20 U.S. Navy ships, including three aircraft carriers (USS Abraham Lincoln, USS George H.W. Bush) and amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli, are operating in the Middle East. USS Theodore Roosevelt is participating in RIMPAC 2026, and USS Nimitz completed a homeport shift to Norfolk. The blockade aims to pressure Iran into a nuclear deal, with talks mediated by Pakistan ongoing. US forces have disabled multiple Iranian-flagged tankers attempting to breach the blockade, and Iran has seized a tanker and established a toll authority for the Strait of Hormuz.
Background: The US had lifted its naval blockade of Iranian ports following the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, but the ceasefire deal has collapsed. Today: President Trump announced the reinstatement of the Iranian blockade effective July 14, with CENTCOM forces enforcing it against vessels transiting to or from Iranian ports. Over 20 U.S. Navy ships, including three aircraft carriers (USS Abraham Lincoln, USS George H.W. Bush) and amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli, are operating in the Middle East. USS Theodore Roosevelt is participating in RIMPAC 2026, and USS Nimitz completed a homeport shift to Norfolk. The blockade aims to pressure Iran into a nuclear deal, with talks mediated by Pakistan ongoing. US forces have disabled multiple Iranian-flagged tankers attempting to breach the blockade, and Iran has seized a tanker and established a toll authority for the Strait of Hormuz.
us45Trump threatens strike on Iran's Pickaxe Mountain bunker, highlighting targeting challenges
Background: Trump previously threatened to destroy anyone accessing Iran's nuclear site and claimed 70% of targets have been hit. In a new development, Trump specifically threatened to strike the deeply buried Pickaxe Mountain (Kuh-e Kolang Gaz La) nuclear facility near Natanz, saying a 'nice big fat shot right in the front door' is possible. The site contains two tunnel networks, is beyond the reach of conventional bunker busters like the GBU-57 MOP, and was not targeted in previous U.S. strikes. Options include attacking tunnel entrances or shallow tunnels, but a ground raid remains highly risky. Trump noted the site is under heavy surveillance by Space Force and said 'we'll probably give Pickaxe a shot relatively soon.'
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Trump threatens strike on Iran's Pickaxe Mountain bunker, highlighting targeting challenges
Background: Trump previously threatened to destroy anyone accessing Iran's nuclear site and claimed 70% of targets have been hit. In a new development, Trump specifically threatened to strike the deeply buried Pickaxe Mountain (Kuh-e Kolang Gaz La) nuclear facility near Natanz, saying a 'nice big fat shot right in the front door' is possible. The site contains two tunnel networks, is beyond the reach of conventional bunker busters like the GBU-57 MOP, and was not targeted in previous U.S. strikes. Options include attacking tunnel entrances or shallow tunnels, but a ground raid remains highly risky. Trump noted the site is under heavy surveillance by Space Force and said 'we'll probably give Pickaxe a shot relatively soon.'
Background: Trump previously threatened to destroy anyone accessing Iran's nuclear site and claimed 70% of targets have been hit. In a new development, Trump specifically threatened to strike the deeply buried Pickaxe Mountain (Kuh-e Kolang Gaz La) nuclear facility near Natanz, saying a 'nice big fat shot right in the front door' is possible. The site contains two tunnel networks, is beyond the reach of conventional bunker busters like the GBU-57 MOP, and was not targeted in previous U.S. strikes. Options include attacking tunnel entrances or shallow tunnels, but a ground raid remains highly risky. Trump noted the site is under heavy surveillance by Space Force and said 'we'll probably give Pickaxe a shot relatively soon.'
us44Explosions Reported in Doha Amid US Strikes on Iran
Several explosions were heard in Qatar's capital Doha early on Friday, triggering a government security alert that warned of an elevated threat level and urged residents to take shelter. The alert was later lifted by the interior ministry. The cause of the blasts remains unclear, but the incident occurs as the US continues military strikes against Iran, raising concerns about regional spillover.
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Explosions Reported in Doha Amid US Strikes on Iran
Several explosions were heard in Qatar's capital Doha early on Friday, triggering a government security alert that warned of an elevated threat level and urged residents to take shelter. The alert was later lifted by the interior ministry. The cause of the blasts remains unclear, but the incident occurs as the US continues military strikes against Iran, raising concerns about regional spillover.
Several explosions were heard in Qatar's capital Doha early on Friday, triggering a government security alert that warned of an elevated threat level and urged residents to take shelter. The alert was later lifted by the interior ministry. The cause of the blasts remains unclear, but the incident occurs as the US continues military strikes against Iran, raising concerns about regional spillover.
us44Canadian wildfire smoke triggers air quality alerts across 20 US states
Over 180 active wildfires in northern Ontario have produced dense smoke that has drifted south, causing air quality alerts in more than 20 US states. Chicago, Detroit, and Minneapolis recorded the worst air quality globally on Thursday. New York City urged residents to limit outdoor activity and opened cooling centers and distributed N95 masks. The smoke has reached as far south as Virginia and Washington DC. Officials warn this could be the city's most significant smoke event since 2023, highlighting the impact of climate change.
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Canadian wildfire smoke triggers air quality alerts across 20 US states
Over 180 active wildfires in northern Ontario have produced dense smoke that has drifted south, causing air quality alerts in more than 20 US states. Chicago, Detroit, and Minneapolis recorded the worst air quality globally on Thursday. New York City urged residents to limit outdoor activity and opened cooling centers and distributed N95 masks. The smoke has reached as far south as Virginia and Washington DC. Officials warn this could be the city's most significant smoke event since 2023, highlighting the impact of climate change.
Over 180 active wildfires in northern Ontario have produced dense smoke that has drifted south, causing air quality alerts in more than 20 US states. Chicago, Detroit, and Minneapolis recorded the worst air quality globally on Thursday. New York City urged residents to limit outdoor activity and opened cooling centers and distributed N95 masks. The smoke has reached as far south as Virginia and Washington DC. Officials warn this could be the city's most significant smoke event since 2023, highlighting the impact of climate change.